Disney+ (DIS, $130.23) willing to forgo billions to compete with Netflix (NFLX, $362.51)
Walt Disney revealed the details of its much-anticipated Disney+ streaming service at its investor day. Disney disclosed that its plans to spend $2 billion on the content of its much-anticipated Disney+ streaming service next year out of which about $500 million will be in cash.
It is evident from the modest subscription of only $6.99 per month that Disney is looking at scaling its services at an accelerated pace. The company expects to reach 60 million to 90 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024, with Hulu and ESPN+ following close behind.
The company plans to buy back streaming rights from Netflix, especially its films and kids series. Even though foregone licensing revenue will result in a $150 million decrease in operating income this year, the company will be soon able to recuperate the losses as more of its content comes off Netflix.
The company also has the advantage of adjusting some of its ledgers to show a credit for the movie studios and media networks. This means that its estimate of paying around $1.5 million to $2 billion in licensing fees next year need to not be in cash. This ability to license content from itself gives it a far greater advantage over other streaming services like Netflix. With reduced pressure on cash flow, it is expected that Disney would be able to cover its marketing and licensing costs much sooner than 2024.
Overall, it looks like Disney+ will be breaking even if not profitable by 2024, despite about $4.5 billion in content expenses.
Momentum Indicator for DIS turns negative, indicating new downward trend
DIS saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on July 11, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIS moved out of overbought territory on July 08, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIS turned negative on July 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DIS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 27, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for DIS moved above the 200-day moving average on June 20, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 171 cases where DIS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.213) is normal, around the industry mean (5.849). P/E Ratio (74.558) is within average values for comparable stocks, (95.272). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.871) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.503) is also within normal values, averaging (30.943).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations
Industry MoviesEntertainment
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