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Apr 16, 2019
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Disney+ (DIS, $130.23) willing to forgo billions to compete with Netflix (NFLX, $362.51)

Disney+ (DIS, $130.23) willing to forgo billions to compete with Netflix (NFLX, $362.51)

Walt Disney revealed the details of its much-anticipated Disney+ streaming service at its investor day. Disney disclosed that its plans to spend $2 billion on the content of its much-anticipated Disney+ streaming service next year out of which about $500 million will be in cash.

It is evident from the modest subscription of only $6.99 per month that Disney is looking at scaling its services at an accelerated pace. The company expects to reach 60 million to 90 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024, with Hulu and ESPN+ following close behind.

The company plans to buy back streaming rights from Netflix, especially its films and kids series. Even though foregone licensing revenue will result in a $150 million decrease in operating income this year, the company will be soon able to recuperate the losses as more of its content comes off Netflix.

The company also has the advantage of adjusting some of its ledgers to show a credit for the movie studios and media networks. This means that its estimate of paying around $1.5 million to $2 billion in licensing fees next year need to not be in cash. This ability to license content from itself gives it a far greater advantage over other streaming services like Netflix. With reduced pressure on cash flow, it is expected that Disney would be able to cover its marketing and licensing costs much sooner than 2024.

Overall, it looks like Disney+ will be breaking even if not profitable by 2024, despite about $4.5 billion in content expenses. 

Related Ticker: DIS

DIS in +2.11% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 10, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in 160 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DIS as a result. In 41 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DIS just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where DIS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

DIS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DIS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 4 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 29%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 73 of 175 cases where DIS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

DIS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.832) is normal, around the industry mean (12.833). P/E Ratio (23.973) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.438) is also within normal values, averaging (2.376). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.925) is also within normal values, averaging (2.932).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Skydance Corporation (NYSE:SKYD), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 16.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 293 to 264.04B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 264.04B. The lowest valued company is BLMZF at 293.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. ZNB experienced the highest price growth at 40%, while MPU experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 42% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 3 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Industry
Media Conglomerates
Address
500 South Buena Vista Street
Phone
+1 818 560-1000
Employees
231000
Web
https://www.thewaltdisneycompany.com
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Disney+ (DIS, $130.23) willing to forgo billions to compete with Netflix (NFLX, $362.51)