TRENDING KEYWORDS
Disney (DIS, $171.17) shares downgraded at BMO, but with a higher price target
Disney shares got a rating downgrade from analysts at BMO Capital to market perform from outperform.
However, BMO hiked their price target from $165 to $185.
BMO’s price target is $120 per share, up from $100 per share, Disney's DTC business, including Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu. The firm continues to price Disney's core business at $65.
BMO expects Disney+ to have between 230 million and 260 million subscribers by 2024, an improved outlook from its previous projection of between 60 million and 90 million subs.
The firm expects average revenue of $7.05 per user on Disney's 275.8 million projected subscribers by the end of 2025.
DIS's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for DIS entered a downward trend on May 23, 2022. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 160 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 88 of the 160 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 55%.
Throughout the month of 04/25/22 - 05/25/22, the price experienced a -14% Downtrend. During the week of 05/18/22 - 05/25/22, the stock fell -1.00%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DIS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Stochastic Indicator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 71 cases where DIS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DIS just turned positive on May 17, 2022. Looking at past instances where DIS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in 157 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
DIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 36%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.62.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.075) is normal, around the industry mean (4.791). P/E Ratio (69.930) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.629). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.841) is also within normal values, averaging (3.733). DIS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (2.465) is also within normal values, averaging (125.616).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.
The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 5.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.4K to 192.8B. DIS holds the highest valuation in this group at 192.8B. The lowest valued company is GTOR at 1.4K.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -2.83%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7.59%. GTOR experienced the highest price growth at 34.08%, while DTTVY experienced the biggest fall at -83.1%.
- 3/19/22 4:49 AM: Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS, $140.3) was a top weekly gainer, with a +6.49% jump
- 3/5/22 8:15 AM: Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS, $140.72) was a top loser this week, declining -5.89%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -8.49%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1.13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35.62%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Negative Outlook today, backed by the Momentum Indicator. Tickeron has a negative outlook on this group and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 56%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.62.
2 stocks in the group of tickers exhibit a similar negative trend based on the Aroon indicator with an average likelihood of 75%.
The average market capitalization across the group is 92.5B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 14.6M to 185B. DIS holds the highest valuation in this group at 185B. The lowest valued company is GMBL at 14.6M.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -12.2%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -25.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -61.62%. DIS experienced the highest price growth at -1%, while GMBL experienced the biggest fall at -23.41%.
- 5/19/22 8:24 AM: Esports Entertainment Group (GMBL, $0.48) is a top weekly gainer for penny stocks, rising +26.37%
- 4/5/22 5:38 AM: Esports Entertainment Group (GMBL, $0.9) is a top weekly gainer for penny stocks, rising +20.85%
- 3/19/22 4:49 AM: Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS, $140.3) was a top weekly gainer, with a +6.49% jump
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 189.51%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was -8.58% and the average quarterly volume growth was 148.3%
- 4/5/22 5:32 AM: The volume for Esports Entertainment Group stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 205% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 3/8/22 8:33 AM: The volume for Esports Entertainment Group stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 321% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 3/2/22 8:04 AM: The volume for Esports Entertainment Group stock increased for four consecutive days, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 606% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Latest blogs by Abhoy Sarkar
Top Blogs
