Dollar Tree (DLTR, $97.34) tops Q2 earnings estimates
Dollar Tree reported fiscal-second-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ estimates.
For the quarter ended Aug. 1, the discount chain’s net income came in at $261.5 million, or $1.10 a share, compared with the year-ago quarter’s $180.3 million, or 76 cents. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected earnings of 92 cents a share.
Revenue rose to $6.28 billion from $5.74 billion, compared to analysts’ forecast of $6.22 billion.
Dollar Tree’s comparable sales grew +7.2%.
The company experienced a 1.8-percentage-point boost in gross-profit margin.
Tickeron's analysis shows DLTR in Uptrend: 50-day Moving Average broke above 200-day Moving Average on July 27, 2020
A buy signal is indicated by this change in price, due to the trend repositioning higher. In 2 of 2 cases where DLTR's 50-day Moving Average crossed above its 200-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
Current price $97.34 crossed the support line at $98.12 and is trading between $98.12 support and $95.75 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 07/27/20 - 08/26/20, the price experienced a +9% Uptrend. During the week of 08/19/20 - 08/26/20, the stock enjoyed a +5% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 07, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 52 of 84 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where DLTR's MACD histogram became positive, in 32 of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DLTR advanced for three days, in 203 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 176 of 288 similar cases where DLTR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 23 of 53 cases where DLTR's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 43%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 58%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.4 to 1.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DLTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock slightly worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.79) is normal, around the industry mean (5.01). P/E Ratio (30.71) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.02). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.15) is also within normal values, averaging (1.06). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.29) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.76) is also within normal values, averaging (1.16).
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
DLTR in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026
DLTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 26 of 34 cases where DLTR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DLTR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 50 cases where DLTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DLTR as a result. In 49 of 66 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DLTR just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where DLTR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +3.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DLTR advanced for three days, in 202 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
DLTR moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DLTR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for DLTR entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DLTR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.357) is normal, around the industry mean (7.191). P/E Ratio (14.218) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.397). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.447) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.109) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DLTR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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an operator of discount variety stores
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