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Feb 21, 2019
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Domino's (DPZ, $278.49) misses Q4 earnings, revenue and same-store sales estimates; raises dividend

Domino's (DPZ, $278.49) misses Q4 earnings, revenue and same-store sales estimates; raises dividend

Domino's Pizza’s same-store sales grew at the slowest pace in four years, and the pizza chain reported lower-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter.

The company’s earnings for the quarter increased +25% year over year to touch $2.62, but fell short of Wall Street consensus estimate of $2.69 per share.  Its same-store sales in the U.S. rose +3.6%, lagging behind the consensus estimate of +6.6%.  Domino’s group revenues grew +13% to $1.08 billion, missing the consensus forecast of $1.1 billion.

The company hiked its quarterly dividend by 18% to 65 cents a share, which is scheduled for payment for March 29 to shareholders of record on March 15.

Related Ticker: DPZ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


DPZ's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DPZ turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where DPZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DPZ as a result. In 53 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

DPZ moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DPZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +5.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DPZ advanced for three days, in 179 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DPZ moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 42%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DPZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

DPZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for DPZ entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DPZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-2.777) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.877). P/E Ratio (18.843) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.791). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.335) is also within normal values, averaging (7.754). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.024) is also within normal values, averaging (2.618).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DPZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Co (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 10.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.6K to 195.68B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 195.68B. The lowest valued company is HLTY at 1.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. CHSN experienced the highest price growth at 155%, while REBN experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 49% and the average quarterly volume growth was -19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of specialty restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Industry
Restaurants
Address
30 Frank Lloyd Wright Drive
Phone
+1 734 930-3030
Employees
10200
Web
https://www.dominos.com
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Domino's (DPZ, $278.49) misses Q4 earnings, revenue and same-store sales estimates; raises dividend