Go to the list of all blogs
Harry Richardson's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 31, 2019
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
DR Horton forming a base after post-earnings decline

DR Horton forming a base after post-earnings decline

Homebuilder DR Horton (NYSE: DHI) reported earnings on April 25. The company beat its EPS estimate as well as its revenue estimate, but the stock fell 4.76% that day as the company’s outlook disappointed investors. Now that the disappointment is starting to subside, the stock appears to be forming a base in the $44 area and looks as though it may be ready for another leg higher.

Looking at the daily chart we see that the stock has been trending higher since the end of December and there is a trend line that connects the lows from December, January, and March. The stock is still well above the trend line, but the stochastic readings have dipped down and are just above oversold territory and have now made a bullish crossover.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on DR Horton on May 1 and the signal showed a confidence level of 66%. The signal calls for a strong performance in the next week and 75% of previous predictions on the stock have been successful.

The fundamentals for DR Horton are pretty strong. The company has seen earnings grow by an average of 27% per year over the last three years. During that same span, sales have grown by a rate of 14% per year.

The company has a return on equity of 18.8% and a profit margin of 12.8%.

One other factor that should benefit DR Horton is the fact that the Fed has stopped raising interest rates, at least for the time being. The housing industry is very interest rate sensitive so the slowdown in the hiking cycle should help the entire industry, including DR Horton.

Related Ticker: DHI

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


DHI in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026

The 10-day moving average for DHI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DHI as a result. In 57 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DHI just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where DHI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

DHI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +8.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in 192 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

DHI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for DHI entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DHI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.788) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (14.475) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.171) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.205) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 8.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 12.75K to 42.59B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 42.59B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 12.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. DFH experienced the highest price growth at 27%, while HOVNP experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -22% and the average quarterly volume growth was 57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 56 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in construction and sale of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1341 Horton Circle
Phone
+1 817 390-8200
Employees
14341
Web
https://www.drhorton.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
PYPL shares plunged 10.65% to $45.02 in early trading on May 5, 2026, from the previous close of $50.39. Primary catalyst: Q1 2026 earnings beat estimates with non-GAAP EPS of $1.34 (vs.
Aptiv PLC ( APTV ) shares plunged 11.36% to 52.77 during Monday's session. The sell-off followed Q1 2026 earnings that beat estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.71 versus $1.58 expected and revenue of $5.1 billion up 5% year-over-year.
DR Horton forming a base after post-earnings decline