eBay adjusted earnings for the second quarter came in at 99 cents per share, exceeding expectations of 89 cents.
The company’s revenue fell -9% from the year-ago quarter to $2.42 billion, topping expectations of $2.37 billion. The y/y decrease was attributed to the softening transactional activities on eBay’s and weakening marketing services. Active buyer base fell -12% y/y to 138 million as of the end of the second quarter.
For the current quarter, eBay expects revenue in the range of $2.29 billion to $2.37 billion, compared with analysts' estimates of $2.30 billion (according to Refinitiv IBES).
The company reiterated its annual sales expectations at $9.6 billion to $9.9 billion. However, the company lowered its full-year outlook for gross merchandise value (GMV) to between $72.7 billion and $74.7 billion, from prior forecast of $73.2 billion to $75.2 billion.
EBAY's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 01, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 234 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 234 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where EBAY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
EBAY moved above its 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EBAY advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
EBAY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EBAY moved out of overbought territory on May 01, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 12, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EBAY as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EBAY turned negative on May 16, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for EBAY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EBAY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.403) is normal, around the industry mean (18.928). P/E Ratio (42.194) is within average values for comparable stocks, (73.881). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.558) is also within normal values, averaging (2.626). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.468) is also within normal values, averaging (8.439).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EBAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EBAY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock better than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows