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Jun 04, 2020

EBay (EBAY, $50.03) raised its Q2 earnings guidance

EBay  boosted its second-quarter-earnings guidance, on surging online sales during pandemic-induced lockdown.

The e-commerce company now projects second-quarter revenue to range from $2.75 billion to $2.8 billion. That is a more optimistic outlook compared with an April estimate of $2.38 billion to $2.48 billion.

For the second quarter, EBay now expects non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.02 to $1.06, compared to April forecast of 73 cents to 80 cents.

On full-year guidance, EBay  did not release any figures, but said it expects the full-year performance to improve from the ranges it mentioned on April 29.

“Demand strength is driven by increased organic traffic, better marketing efficiency, and higher platform conversion”, the company said.

EBAY in Uptrend: 50-day Moving Average crossed above 200-day Moving Average on May 28, 2020

A buy signal is indicated by this change in price, due to the trend repositioning higher. In 2 of 2 cases where EBAY's 50-day Moving Average crossed above its 200-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Current price $50.06 is above $40.90 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 05/01/20 - 06/03/20, the price experienced a +19% Uptrend. During the week of 05/27/20 - 06/03/20, the stock enjoyed a +6% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where EBAY's MACD histogram became positive, in 29 of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EBAY advanced for three days, in 197 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 103 of 189 similar cases where EBAY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 21 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 16 of 38 cases where EBAY's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 42%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 46%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.27 to 1.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. EBAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: EBAY's P/B Ratio (15.40) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.87). P/E Ratio (7.71) is within average values for comparable stocks, (94.56). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.04) is also within normal values, averaging (1.29). Dividend Yield (1.55) settles around the average of (0.62) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.17) is also within normal values, averaging (11.61).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Ticker: EBAY

EBAY sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for EBAY moved above the 200-day moving average on March 04, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 14, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EBAY as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EBAY just turned positive on February 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where EBAY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

EBAY moved above its 50-day moving average on February 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EBAY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EBAY advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 221 cases where EBAY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EBAY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

EBAY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. EBAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.962) is normal, around the industry mean (17.819). P/E Ratio (9.390) is within average values for comparable stocks, (75.936). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.347) is also within normal values, averaging (3.375). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.579) is also within normal values, averaging (4.219).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Just Eat Takeaway.com NV (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 33.77B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30 to 1.84T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.84T. The lowest valued company is YUKA at 30.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. NEXCF experienced the highest price growth at 62%, while RDBBF experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 49%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 37%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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EBAYDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of online market places for the sale of goods and services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Other Consumer Services
Address
2025 Hamilton Avenue
Phone
+1 408 376-7108
Employees
12300
Web
https://www.ebay.com
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EBAY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EBAY has been loosely correlated with RVLV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EBAY jumps, then RVLV could also see price increases.

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To EBAY
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EBAY100%
+1.81%
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51%
Loosely correlated
-1.54%
CVNA - EBAY
44%
Loosely correlated
-1.71%
ETSY - EBAY
43%
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