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Dec 18, 2019
Eli Lilly (LLY, $125.25) posts higher-than-expected 2020 earnings guidance

Eli Lilly (LLY, $125.25) posts higher-than-expected 2020 earnings guidance

Eli Lilly & Co. reaffirmed  its guidance for 2019 earnings, and expects revenues to continue to grow in the coming year.

The pharmaceutical company has projected 2020 non-GAAP earnings in the range of $6.70 to $6.80 per share, which exceeds the Refinitv forecast of $6.63 per share. The group also re-iterated its 2019 full-year earnings guidance (which it had boosted in October) at a range of $5.75 to $5.85 per share.

Eli Lilly is expecting revenues in the range of $23.6 billion to $24.1 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of 7%.

CEO David Ricks mentioned an expanding portfolio of new medicines focused on diabetes, oncology, immunology, and neuroscience as key drivers of growth for the company. 

Ricks also cited “attractive commercial portfolio and limited patent exposure through the latter half of the upcoming decade” as factors that should enable the company to deliver sustainable volume-based revenue growth and drive further operating margin expansion.

Related Ticker: LLY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


LLY in +3.86% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on August 18, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where LLY advanced for three days, in of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LLY as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LLY just turned positive on August 10, 2026. Looking at past instances where LLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LLY moved above its 50-day moving average on August 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 60 cases where LLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for LLY entered a downward trend on August 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (32.468) is normal, around the industry mean (19.422). P/E Ratio (41.412) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.552) is also within normal values, averaging (11.305). LLY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.005) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). LLY's P/S Ratio (13.889) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.270).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE:AZN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 207.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 1.1T. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.1T. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. MRK experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while SCLX experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 28
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 39
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of pharmaceutical products

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

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Pharmaceuticals Major
Address
Lilly Corporate Center
Phone
+1 317 276-2000
Employees
43000
Web
https://www.lilly.com
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