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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 18, 2019

Eli Lilly (LLY, $125.25) posts higher-than-expected 2020 earnings guidance

Eli Lilly & Co. reaffirmed  its guidance for 2019 earnings, and expects revenues to continue to grow in the coming year.

The pharmaceutical company has projected 2020 non-GAAP earnings in the range of $6.70 to $6.80 per share, which exceeds the Refinitv forecast of $6.63 per share. The group also re-iterated its 2019 full-year earnings guidance (which it had boosted in October) at a range of $5.75 to $5.85 per share.

Eli Lilly is expecting revenues in the range of $23.6 billion to $24.1 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of 7%.

CEO David Ricks mentioned an expanding portfolio of new medicines focused on diabetes, oncology, immunology, and neuroscience as key drivers of growth for the company. 

Ricks also cited “attractive commercial portfolio and limited patent exposure through the latter half of the upcoming decade” as factors that should enable the company to deliver sustainable volume-based revenue growth and drive further operating margin expansion.

Related Ticker: LLY

LLY sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

LLY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 17, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for LLY moved out of overbought territory on July 16, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where LLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LLY as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LLY advanced for three days, in of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 356 cases where LLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 70%.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LLY's P/B Ratio (67.114) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.632). P/E Ratio (131.129) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.974). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.440) is also within normal values, averaging (3.004). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.164) among similar stocks. LLY's P/S Ratio (20.121) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.643).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 86.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 739.66B. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 739.66B. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. MIRA experienced the highest price growth at 47%, while CHJTF experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 58%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 31% and the average quarterly volume growth was -5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of pharmaceutical products

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Pharmaceuticals Major
Address
Lilly Corporate Center
Phone
+1 317 276-2000
Employees
43000
Web
https://www.lilly.com
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