Eli Lilly (LLY) to Buy Loxo Oncology (LOXO) for $8 Billion
Eli Lilly & Co. is buying Loxo Oncology for $8 billion. This is an all-cash deal and already the second multi-billion dollar pharmaceutical deal of 2019. Loxo holders will get $235 per share in cash, the companies said in a statement Monday. The Stamford, Connecticut-based biotechnology company is developing cancer treatments that target a tumor’s genetic markers regardless of where in the body they’re located.
Lilly is paying 68 percent above Loxo’s closing stock price Friday and above Loxo’s previous all-time high of $189.96, reached in July 2018. The news comes only a few days after Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. and Celgene Corp. announced a $74 billion cash-and-stock deal last week.
Aroon Indicator for LLY shows an upward move is likely
LLY's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 01, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 353 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 353 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 02, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LLY as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LLY advanced for three days, in of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for LLY moved out of overbought territory on June 06, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LLY turned negative on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 03, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LLY's P/B Ratio (37.037) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.329). LLY has a moderately high P/E Ratio (69.444) as compared to the industry average of (31.163). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.841) is also within normal values, averaging (3.412). LLY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.010) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). LLY's P/S Ratio (14.245) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.100).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of pharmaceutical products
Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor
LLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LLY has been loosely correlated with MRK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LLY jumps, then MRK could also see price increases.
