MENU
Go to the list of all blogs
Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 12, 2019

Energy Sector SPDR hitting downward sloped trend line

Recently I have written several articles about energy stocks and all of them have been bearish in nature. The stocks have been trending lower and there are a number of them that have poor fundamentals. Tonight, the Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLE) caught my attention, or at least the chart did.

The XLE was on a bearish scan that I run each night and as I scrolled through the charts, I couldn’t help but notice how the highs from April, July, and the last two days all connected very nicely with a downward sloped trend line. I also took it upon myself to draw a parallel line to see if the lows connected to form a trend channel. They do to some degree, but the lower rail isn’t nearly as clean as the upper rail.

We see that the overbought/oversold indicators are both at overbought levels and the stochastic readings just made a bearish crossover on September 11.

In addition to the bearish crossover from the stochastic readings, the Tickeron Technical Analysis Overview shows that the higher Bollinger Band was broken. A price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, and that invites the trader to consider shorting the XLE, or exploring put options. In 25 of 29 cases where XLE's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 86%.

The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal on the XLE on September 9. The signal showed a confidence level of 62% and it calls for a decline of at least 4% within the next month. Past predictions on the ETF have been successful 85% of the time.

One of the reasons the energy stocks keep catching my eye is because of the poor fundamentals. When I run my scans each night, there is a bullish list and a bearish list and those scans are based on technical factors. After I get these lists, I run another scan on Investor’s Business Daily to get fundamental ratings using the EPS rating and the SMR ratings as a basic overview of a how a stock is doing fundamentally. I also check Tickeron’s technical analysis and fundamental analysis overviews.

When I saw the XLE on the bearish list, I ran a scan for the top 10 holdings in the ETF to get the EPS rating and the SMR rating from IBD. I put together the following table from that scan.

The average EPS rating of the top 10 holdings in the XLE is 27.8 and that shows poor earnings growth for the sector as a whole. I assigned a number to the SMR rating—5 for an A, 4 for a B, 3 for a C, etc. The average SMR rating is a C+ or 3.5. This shows slightly better than average sales growth, profit margins, and ROEs for this group.

Overall, the fundamental picture for the energy sector isn’t very good based on these findings.

Something else to keep in mind regarding oil and energy stocks is that oil itself has been the subject of geopolitical developments recently. Okay, oil is always the subject of geopolitical developments, but current tensions seem to be elevated with different ships being held in the Persian Gulf.

There are also some that believe the sanctions on Iran will be eased after the firing/resignation of National Security Adviser John Bolton. If the sanctions are eased, there will be more oil on the market or an increase in supply. Oil dropped 2.5% on September 11.

Related Ticker: XLE

XLE sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for XLE moved above the 200-day moving average on November 13, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLE as a result. In of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLE just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where XLE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLE moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLE advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 303 cases where XLE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Schlumberger Limited (NYSE:SLB), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (null:PXD), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Energy Select Sector Index. In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Energy companies by the GICS®, including securities of companies from the following industries: oil, gas and consumable fuels; and energy equipment and services. It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF is 78.38B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.68B to 461.22B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 461.22B. The lowest valued company is APA at 10.68B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was 7%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 20%, and the average quarterly price growth was 64%. EQT experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while APA experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was -37%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 50% and the average quarterly volume growth was 42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 63
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 42
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 29
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
XLE
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
Ad is loading...
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category Energy

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Equity Energy
Address
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
Ad is loading...
In July, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) made history as the first company to close regular-session trading with a market capitalization exceeding $3.5 trillion. Despite early session declines, Apple stock reached an all-time high of $229.40 and closed at $228.68.
Swing trading involves holding positions for several days to weeks to capture gains from market movements that unfold over a medium-term horizon. This strategy relies on technical analysis to identify potential entry and exit points, often supplemented by fundamental analysis to strengthen trade decisions.
The cleaning sector has exhibited a notable performance increase, experiencing a +4.71% rise over the past week. This performance surge reflects positive market sentiment and possibly increasing demand within the sector.
The immuno-oncology sector, comprising companies that develop advanced technologies for cancer treatment, has shown promising performance recently. This sector's innovation and critical role in advancing cancer treatments have led to a significant market response, reflected in a notable +8.04% increase in performance over the past week. Below is an analysis of the key players in this group—Corvus Pharmaceuticals (CRVS), AnaptysBio (ANAB), and iTeos Therapeutics (ITOS)—focusing on market capitalization, price movements, volume changes, and technical indicators.
U.S. stocks took a hit as tech shares dropped and the yen strengthened, leading to a 1,033-point drop in the Dow. With growing concerns over the Fed's rate policy, analysts now predict multiple rate cuts to address rising economic risks.
The technology sector remains a dynamic space for investors, with certain themes like portable devices showing substantial growth potential. Over the past week, the portable devices theme has seen an impressive performance with a +14.86% increase, highlighting the strength and resilience of companies operating within this sector. In this article, we will explore key metrics such as market capitalization, price trends, and volume growth, while also taking a closer look at the individual performances of companies within this theme, particularly focusing on Apple Inc. (AAPL), CEVA Inc. (CEVA), and Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC).
The performance of companies in the fish-selling category has attracted significant attention recently, primarily due to the group's impressive +19.69% increase in performance over the past week. The 'fish' category, which includes companies that sell or produce fish, often overlaps with firms involved in poultry, frozen meat, and dairy products. Notable companies in this sector include Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY), Sanderson Farms, Inc., and Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL). In this article, we will explore the market dynamics, price movements, and volume changes affecting this sector, with a focus on the group of tickers HRL, LWAY, BRFS, and PPC.
Two standout models are at the core of Tickeron's new bots (robots). Identifying and acting on price drops ("search for dips") and leveraging significant volatility spikes.
Tickeron has introduced advanced AI trading bots designed for day traders, utilizing Financial Learning Models (FLMs) and technical analysis to optimize strategies in high-volatility markets. These bots are engineered to capitalize on price surges and provide precise, short-term trading opportunities.
The railroads sector has recently demonstrated impressive performance, with a notable +19.69% increase in performance over the past week. This surge underlines the sector's critical role in freight and passenger transportation across North America, providing essential infrastructure for both national and international trade logistics. This article delves into the sector's key players, their market performance, and recent trends that are shaping the future of rail transport.
The uranium sector has been gaining notable attention recently, with a sharp uptick in performance. As of last week, uranium companies have seen a significant increase in performance by +10.69%. This surge brings renewed focus to uranium, a critical element used in nuclear power generation. With nuclear energy gaining traction as a cleaner alternative, companies engaged in uranium acquisition, exploration, and development are well-positioned to capitalize on this demand.
Amazon (AMZN) saw a $54B market cap increase this week, driven by a 2.74% stock price surge. Despite the short-term volatility indicated by breaking its upper Bollinger Band, the company's strong positioning in AI and cloud computing continues to attract investor interest.
The financial markets saw a mix of gains and declining volatility between September 23-27, with key indexes like SPY, QQQ, and DIA posting positive returns. Despite rising stocks, volatility measures dropped, reflecting reduced market uncertainty. This article explores market trends and highlights AI-driven trading robots designed to capitalize on opportunities while managing risk.
Tickeron's AI-powered Trend Trading bots are revolutionizing stock investing by integrating Financial Learning Models (FLMs) to help hedge fund managers and traders uncover undervalued stocks. These bots provide actionable signals, apply advanced risk management strategies, and support disciplined growth, empowering investors to navigate complex financial markets with ease.
The aluminum construction companies have experienced a significant boost, with the segment seeing a +11.13% increase in performance over the past week. This growth is largely driven by the rising demand for lightweight materials, particularly in the automotive sector, where aluminum is being widely adopted to improve fuel efficiency. The aluminum industry plays a vital role in the U.S. economy, generating approximately $71 billion annually in direct economic impact, according to The Aluminum Association.
Unlock the potential of AI-powered swing trading with robots designed to track dips in top S&P 500 stocks. Whether you're a beginner or experienced trader, these tools help manage up to $20k per position, balancing risk and reward with advanced algorithms and market insights. Discover how to maximize returns in volatile markets!
Discover Tickeron's new AI-driven trading bots designed for high-volatility markets and impulse price action. Leveraging Financial Learning Models (FLMs) and technical analysis, these bots optimize trades, offer a 70% win rate, and execute strategies for day traders focused on fast market moves.
The Diesel Companies segment has displayed a notable increase of +9.44% in performance over the past week. This uptick highlights a positive trend in the sector, encompassing companies involved in the manufacturing of diesel vehicles and the distribution of transportation fuels.
Tickeron launches AI-powered Stock Picker robots to assist hedge fund managers with sector rotation, growth-focused small-cap stocks, and strategic risk management. Using proprietary FLMs, Stock Pickers offer quant-driven signals and adaptive strategies for long-term growth and investment