Exxon (XOM, $74.66) reports better-than-expected earnings
Shares of the world’s largest publicly traded oil and gas company, Exxon Mobil, rose more than 3% on Monday to touch the $76 mark. Exxon’s latest quarterly earnings report revealed that the company reported a forecast-beating performance in the fourth quarter.
Quarterly profit excluding the impacts of U.S. tax changes rose to $6.41 billion, registering a 72% increase from the same period a year ago.
However, quarterly profit including the tax impacts fell by 28% compared to the same quarter a year ago to $6 billion. Nevertheless, the equivalent earnings per share of $1.41 beat forecasts of $1.08 per share.
But revenue couldn’t match forecasts and came-in at $71.89 billion, although the company showed a small increase in fossil fuel production. Oil production for the quarter increased 4% to hit four million barrels of oil equivalent, driven by growth from the Permian Basin, the top U.S. shale field underlying western Texas and south-eastern New Mexico.
The company has also released information about its plans to restructure upstream business by consolidating operations across three companies that could double up the cash flow earnings by 2025. Profits from the upstream business, excluding the tax impacts, rose ~47 percent to clock $3.7 billion in the fourth-quarter.
Finally, Exxon announced its decision to expand its Beaumont, Texas, refinery to process an outpouring of production from shale fields in the Permian Basin. The build-out will make the Beaumont facility the second largest in the United States after Saudi Aramco's Motiva refinery in Port Arthur, Texas.
XOM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on June 18, 2026
XOM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 24 cases where XOM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XOM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XOM as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XOM turned negative on May 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
XOM moved below its 50-day moving average on May 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XOM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for XOM entered a downward trend on June 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 35, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.256) is normal, around the industry mean (1.939). P/E Ratio (23.311) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.170). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.149) is also within normal values, averaging (1.141). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.811) is also within normal values, averaging (1.738).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products
Industry IntegratedOil
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