Social media giant Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) has gotten beaten up pretty good over the last five months. The stock hit an all-time high in July at $218.62. Since then the stock has dropped sharply and hit a low in November at $126.85.
The stock has bounced from that low and is 13.5% above it at this point in time. Unfortunately the rebound may be in jeopardy as the stock is hitting two different forms of resistance. The first point of resistance is the 50-day moving average which is at $146.20 currently. The stock hit the moving average in the last few days before it turned lower on Friday.
The second form of resistance comes from the upper rail of the trend channel that has formed over the last five months. We see the lower rail was really the first to form after the huge gap lower in July. When the stock rallied in early August, that formed the first point of the upper rail and the stock has hit it four times now.
Facebook has really good fundamentals still, but the trading environment around the stock is so bearish right now. The company has seen its earnings grow by an average of 97% annually over the last three years while sales have grown by 49% per year over that same time period.
The company’s profit margin is at 50.7% and the return on equity is at 27.3%. It’s also worth noting that the company has zero long-term debt.
Despite all of these positive factors, the company is facing increased scrutiny over its privacy policies both domestically and abroad.
The 10-day moving average for META crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on META as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for META turned negative on April 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
META moved below its 50-day moving average on April 24, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where META declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for META's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where META's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where META advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
META may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 355 cases where META Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. META’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.177) is normal, around the industry mean (19.638). P/E Ratio (33.034) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.308). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.115) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.569) is also within normal values, averaging (110.312).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a social networking service and website
Industry InternetSoftwareServices