Facebook (FB) Facing Two Forms of Resistance
Social media giant Facebook (Nasdaq: FB) has gotten beaten up pretty good over the last five months. The stock hit an all-time high in July at $218.62. Since then the stock has dropped sharply and hit a low in November at $126.85.
The stock has bounced from that low and is 13.5% above it at this point in time. Unfortunately the rebound may be in jeopardy as the stock is hitting two different forms of resistance. The first point of resistance is the 50-day moving average which is at $146.20 currently. The stock hit the moving average in the last few days before it turned lower on Friday.
The second form of resistance comes from the upper rail of the trend channel that has formed over the last five months. We see the lower rail was really the first to form after the huge gap lower in July. When the stock rallied in early August, that formed the first point of the upper rail and the stock has hit it four times now.
Facebook has really good fundamentals still, but the trading environment around the stock is so bearish right now. The company has seen its earnings grow by an average of 97% annually over the last three years while sales have grown by 49% per year over that same time period.
The company’s profit margin is at 50.7% and the return on equity is at 27.3%. It’s also worth noting that the company has zero long-term debt.
Despite all of these positive factors, the company is facing increased scrutiny over its privacy policies both domestically and abroad.
Aroon Indicator for META shows an upward move is likely
META's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 30, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 279 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 279 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on META as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for META just turned positive on May 18, 2023. Looking at past instances where META's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where META advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where META declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
META broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 26, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. META’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.391) is normal, around the industry mean (21.616). P/E Ratio (32.573) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.733). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.910) is also within normal values, averaging (3.138). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.963) is also within normal values, averaging (10.067).
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Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a social networking service and website
Industry InternetSoftwareServices
META and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, META has been closely correlated with GOOGL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if META jumps, then GOOGL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To META | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | 100% | +0.18% | ||
| GOOGL - META | 66% Closely correlated | -0.75% | ||
| GOOG - META | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| SPOT - META | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| FVRR - META | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| ZG - META | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
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