Facebook’s (FB, $166.69) impressive Q4 results reveal robust user growth
Facebook’s latest Q4 report reveals forecast-beating top and bottom-line growth, resulting into the shares of the company rising by 7.1% after hours.
Revenues rose 30% to $16.9 billion. In the area of ad revenue, 93% came from just mobile advertising, a 4% increase from the previous year. Net income saw a stunning jump of 61% to $6.88 billion but income from operations was not as comparable, rising to just 6% to $7.82 billion. Operating margin fell by 11% from last year’s 57%. Daily active users were up 9% on a y-o-y basis in December, with an average of 1.5 billion. Monthly active users were also up 9%, to 2.32 billion.
But perhaps the most compelling figure showed that the company's effective tax rate dropped to 14% from 43% the year prior.
The company also estimates a whopping 2.7 billion users each month accessing the various platforms (Instagram, Facebook, Whatsapp or Messenger).
Capex for the quarter stood at $4.37 billion, while liquidity was $41.11 billion at quarter's end.
Aroon Indicator for META shows an upward move is likely
META's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 16, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 342 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 342 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where META's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where META advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
META may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for META moved out of overbought territory on October 10, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 52 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on META as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for META turned negative on October 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where META declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. META’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.177) is normal, around the industry mean (10.901). P/E Ratio (33.034) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.708). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.115) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.569) is also within normal values, averaging (19.253).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a social networking service and website
Industry InternetSoftwareServices