Falling Auto Sales in China Keep U.S. Carmakers on Edge
Declining auto sales in China has U.S. carmakers concerned, with four straight months of declines squeezing profitability in the world’s biggest car market.
According to the Chinese Association of Automobile Manufacturers, auto sales in China fell ~14% in November over the same month in 2017. Continuing a downward slide which started in July, the drop in November sales marked the steepest fall in more than six years, and it also pushed the year-to-November sales growth into negative territory for the first time since the early 1990s.
According to market analysts, a confluence of a number of factors like a slowing Chines economy, a crackdown on certain types of auto lending, change in government policy, a growing second-hand car market, and a trade war with the United States have contributed to the decline.
Despite all the gloominess, the only new positive for U.S. car markers is that not all companies have been hit equally by the Chinese downturn. Low-end vehicles got hit the most, while premium brands have continued to see growth.
F's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F turned positive on June 20, 2025. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 27, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 251 cases where F Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
F broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.235) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (12.306) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.785) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.305) is also within normal values, averaging (79.562).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks
Industry MotorVehicles
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