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published in Blogs
Aug 13, 2020

FAT Brands (FAT, $3.53) to buy Johnny Rockets for $25 million

Restaurant company Fat Brands Inc.  , owner of such restaurant chains as Fatburger and Ponderosa, has agreed to acquire the Johnny Rockets restaurant chain from the private equity firm Sun Capital Partners for about $25 million.

The acquisition is expected to be completed in September, following which , Fat Brands said it will have more than 700 franchised and company-owned restaurants globally, and it expects to generate  annual system-wide sales more than $700 million.

According to Fat Brands, the transaction will be funded through cash on hand and proceeds generated from the company’s securitization facility.

Tickeron's analysis shows : FAT's price moved above its 50-day Moving Average on August 12, 2020. This price move indicates a change in the trend, and may be a buy signal for investors. In 17 of 21 cases where FAT's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.

Current price $3.53 crossed the resistance line at $3.52 and is trading between $3.63 resistance and $3.52 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 07/13/20 - 08/12/20, the price experienced a +12% Uptrend. During the week of 08/05/20 - 08/12/20, the stock enjoyed a +9% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. 30 of 40 cases where FAT's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 11, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 42 of 59 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where FAT's MACD histogram became positive, in 16 of 24 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FAT advanced for three days, in 80 of 112 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 10 of 14 cases where FAT's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 71%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 119 of 150 cases where FAT Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 79%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 21%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 3.2 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FAT's P/B Ratio (-11.70) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.93). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.02). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (6.39). Dividend Yield (2.47) settles around the average of (1.23) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.99) is also within normal values, averaging (1.89).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FAT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FAT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: FAT

FAT's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for FAT moved out of overbought territory on February 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 39 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 21, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FAT as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FAT turned negative on February 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for FAT moved above the 200-day moving average on February 01, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FAT advanced for three days, in of 244 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 175 cases where FAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FAT's P/B Ratio (24.938) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.382). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (180.107). FAT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.947). FAT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.064) as compared to the industry average of (0.032). P/S Ratio (0.339) is also within normal values, averaging (2.435).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.46B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 209.92B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 209.92B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. SG experienced the highest price growth at 43%, while RRGB experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -20% and the average quarterly volume growth was 69%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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FATDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of franchised restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
9720 Wilshire Boulevard
Phone
+1 310 319-1850
Employees
5400
Web
https://www.fatbrands.com
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FAT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that FAT and ARCO have been poorly correlated (+23% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that FAT and ARCO's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FAT
1D Price
Change %
FAT100%
-1.91%
ARCO - FAT
23%
Poorly correlated
-0.34%
BDL - FAT
23%
Poorly correlated
+2.65%
SHAK - FAT
22%
Poorly correlated
+0.87%
FWRG - FAT
22%
Poorly correlated
+1.28%
RRGB - FAT
21%
Poorly correlated
+1.34%
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