Comparative Analysis: FCEL vs QS
Compare: Day Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA) 18.69% for FCEL vs Swing trader: Top High-Volatility Stocks (TA) 23.91% for QS
In the dynamic world of stock trading, a comparative analysis of different stocks is pivotal for making informed decisions. In this light, we compare two particular stocks — FCEL (FuelCell Energy Inc.) and QS (QuantumScape Corporation). Both these stocks are representatives of their respective industries, Electrical Products, and Auto Parts: OEM.
FCEL, identified as a medium volatility stock, has shown a return of 18.69% for day traders employing both technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA). On the other hand, QS, as a high-volatility stock, has offered a return of 23.91% for swing traders using technical analysis (TA). Although high-volatility stocks like QS can offer larger returns, which might not be suitable for all investors.
Weekly Price Growth
In terms of price change this week, FCEL experienced a decline of 14.84% in contrast to QS's slightly lower decrease of 10.24%. This performance must be contextualized within their respective industries.
The average weekly price decline across all stocks in the Electrical Products industry, to which FCEL belongs, was 3.57%. Meanwhile, the Auto Parts: OEM industry, where QS is classified, saw an average weekly price decline of 2.00%. Therefore, both FCEL and QS underperformed their industry averages this week.
Monthly and Quarterly Price Growth
Expanding our view to a longer-term horizon, the average monthly price growth in the Electrical Products industry was +2.50%, while the Auto Parts: OEM industry posted a growth of +0.55%. The Electrical Products industry showed stronger performance over the past month.
On a quarterly basis, the Electrical Products industry demonstrated a price growth of +4.26%. In contrast, the Auto Parts: OEM industry outperformed with a more impressive quarterly price growth of +7.28%.
Upcoming Earnings Reports
Looking forward, investors must consider the upcoming earnings reports of both stocks. FCEL is expected to report earnings on September 7, 2023, and QS on July 26, 2023. These dates can potentially serve as catalysts for price movements.
While both FCEL and QS faced price declines this week, it's critical for investors to align their choice with their risk tolerance, trading strategy, and broader industry performance. The analysis of past performance, while useful, is not a sure indicator of future results, and upcoming earnings reports could bring new dynamics into play.
The 10-day moving average for QS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 15, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 6 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 31 cases where QS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 20, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QS as a result. In of 52 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for QS entered a downward trend on September 05, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for QS just turned positive on August 30, 2023. Looking at past instances where QS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 25 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QS advanced for three days, in of 175 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.790) is normal, around the industry mean (3.096). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.540). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.680). QS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.605).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. QS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. QS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QS has been loosely correlated with AEVA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if QS jumps, then AEVA could also see price increases.