The U.S. Federal Reserve might be ready to buy an unlimited amount of assets to support the economy amid the COVID-19 crisis.
On Monday, the Fed said it will buy Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities "in the amounts needed to support smooth market functioning and effective transmission of monetary policy to broader financial conditions and the economy".
On March 15, the central bank said it would buy atleast $700 billion in asset purchases.
"The coronavirus pandemic is causing tremendous hardship across the United States and around the world. Our nation's first priority is to care for those afflicted and to limit the further spread of the virus", the Fed said.
Following the news, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s value against a basket of six global currencies, was -0.90% lower in the session. 10-year Treasury yield fell to 0.75%.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
The Aroon Indicator for GOVT entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 216 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 119 of the 216 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 55%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GOVT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In 41 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Following a +0.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in 128 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
GOVT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Category IntermediateGovernment