Fed Leaves Policy Rate Unchanged at 2.25% -2.5% in January
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at a range of 2.25% to 2.5%. The policy rate is what banks charge each other for lending funds overnight.
At the first Federal Open Market Committee meet of 2019, central bankers expressed caution amidst global economic uncertainties, such as trade tensions, potential headwinds from economic slowdowns in China and Europe, and the recent U.S. government shutdown. The U.S. domestic macroeconomic conditions seem sanguine through, with low unemployment and strong job gains.
Although the Fed had earlier expected two hikes for the policy rate for this year, it seems that central bankers are now tilting more towards a ‘wait-and-see’ mode.
"The case for raising rates has weakened somewhat," said Fed chair Jerome Powell at a press conference following the committee's January rate-setting meeting. "We believe we can best support the economy by being patient and evaluating the outlook before making any future adjustment to policy."
SHY in -0.14% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on July 07, 2025
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SHY declined for three days, in of 242 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHY as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHY turned negative on July 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SHY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where SHY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHY advanced for three days, in of 251 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 313 cases where SHY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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