Fed Leaves Policy Rate Unchanged at 2.25% -2.5% in January
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at a range of 2.25% to 2.5%. The policy rate is what banks charge each other for lending funds overnight.
At the first Federal Open Market Committee meet of 2019, central bankers expressed caution amidst global economic uncertainties, such as trade tensions, potential headwinds from economic slowdowns in China and Europe, and the recent U.S. government shutdown. The U.S. domestic macroeconomic conditions seem sanguine through, with low unemployment and strong job gains.
Although the Fed had earlier expected two hikes for the policy rate for this year, it seems that central bankers are now tilting more towards a ‘wait-and-see’ mode.
"The case for raising rates has weakened somewhat," said Fed chair Jerome Powell at a press conference following the committee's January rate-setting meeting. "We believe we can best support the economy by being patient and evaluating the outlook before making any future adjustment to policy."
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
SHY in +0.10% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 06, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SHY advanced for three days, in 30 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 10%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHY as a result. In 6 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 8%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHY just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where SHY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 2 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 4%.
SHY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
SHY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 9%.
The Aroon Indicator for SHY entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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