FedEx (FDX, $161.08) shares plunge 22%, on prelim. earnings miss
FedEx stock experienced one of its steepest one-day plunges in decades. The package delivery company’s shares were down more than 22% on Friday. This follows FedEx’s preliminary first-quarter results that fell short of analyst’ expectations, while the company also indicated caution about earnings.
The company expects its fiscal-first-quarter earnings would be nearly $3.44 a share. That’s significantly below consensus estimates of $5.14 a share. The company cited weakening demand in global shipment volumes. What’s more, FedEx also withdrew its guidance for its full-year profit, citing a volatile environment.
Revenue of $23.2 billion in the quarter also missed analysts’ forecasts of $23.59 billion (based on Refinitiv poll).
The company lowered its forecast for capital expenditure for the year by $500 million to $6.3 billion.
On Thursday, FedEx CEO Raj Subramaniam indicated, in an interview with CNBC’s Jim Cramer, that he sees a global recession around the corner. “I think so. But you know, these numbers, they don’t portend very well,” Subramaniam said in response to Cramer’s question of whether the economy is “going into a worldwide recession.”
FDX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024
FDX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for FDX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 07, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
FDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 277 cases where FDX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDX moved out of overbought territory on November 29, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where FDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 03, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FDX as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDX turned negative on December 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.614) is normal, around the industry mean (20.642). P/E Ratio (16.164) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.262). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.011) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.807) is also within normal values, averaging (1.303).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry AirFreightCouriers