FedEx(FDX, $163.25) misses fiscal Q2 earnings; disappoints on 2020 guidance
FedEx missed earnings estimates for its fiscal-second-quarter, and also provided lower-than-expected guidance for the full fiscal year 2020.
In the quarter ended Nov. 30, the courier delivery service company’s earnings came in at $2.13 a share, lower than the year-ago quarter’s $3.51. The figure also missed the $2.60 expected by analysts polled by FactSet.
FedEx’s adjusted earnings of $2.51 also fell below analysts’ estimate of $2.78.
The second-quarter earnings were affected by charges of 19 cents a share each for expense related to integrating TNT Express and for aircraft-asset impairment.
The company cited weak global economic conditions, increased FedEx Ground costs from expanded service offerings, the loss of business from a large customer, a continuing mix shift to lower-yielding services and a more competitive pricing environment as some of the factors behind declining operating results.
This week, Amazon temporarily barred certain third-party sellers from using the FedEx Ground delivery network to handle Prime shipments. Earlier in the year, FedEx announced that it’s terminating its ground delivery contract with Amazon, which is building its own logistics network.
Looking ahead, FedEx now expects fiscal full-year 2020 earnings of $9.10 to $10.35 a share – before the impact of a year-end accounting adjustment for a retirement plan. It was unable to forecast the fiscal 2020 year-end mark-to-market (MTM) retirement plan accounting adjustment. The company said earnings should range between $10.25 and $11.50 a share before that adjustment and excluding TNT Express integration expenses and aircraft impairment charges. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting $12.09.
Alan B. Graf, Jr., FedEx Corp. executive vice president and chief financial officer, indicated that FedEx’s revised guidance reflects lower-than-expected revenue at each of its transportation segments and higher-than-expected expenses driven by continued mix shift to residential delivery services. He further mentioned that the company is implementing reductions to the global FedEx Express air network to effectively match capacity with demand, and also taking steps to lower costs.
FDX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
FDX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 15, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDX moved out of overbought territory on July 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FDX as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 262 cases where FDX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.614) is normal, around the industry mean (20.642). P/E Ratio (16.164) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.262). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.011) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.807) is also within normal values, averaging (1.303).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry AirFreightCouriers
Advertisement