FedEx is challenged by deteriorating international sales, on account of unfavorable exchange rate moves coupled with global trade tensions.
Alan B. Graf, Jr., FedEx Corp. executive vice president and chief financial officer, indicated that foreign economies’ sluggish growth and international trade disruptions are posing headwinds to the package delivery service company’s overseas revenues.
On Tuesday, FedEx reported its third quarter revenue of $17.01 billion, missing analysts’ estimates of $17.67 billion.
The company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $3.03 per share, which fell short of analysts’ expectation of $3.11 per share (based on Refinitiv poll). Earnings were also lower from the year-ago quarter’s $3.72 per share. Furthermore, the company slashed its full-year 2019 earnings guidance to a range of $15.10 and $15.90 per share, compared with analysts’ forecast of $15.97 (based on Refinitiv data).
According to Graf , FedEx has embarked upon a voluntary employee buyout program to tackle the pressure from slowing international business. Additionally, the company is constraining hiring and curbing discretionary spending, as indicated by Graf.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in 234 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FDX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 61 cases where FDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
FDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDX turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 57%.
FDX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for FDX entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.166) is normal, around the industry mean (3.756). P/E Ratio (15.615) is within average values for comparable stocks, (222.905). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.224) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.761) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry OtherTransportation