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Mar 20, 2019

FedEx (FDX, $172.10) faces international roadblock to revenue

FedEx is challenged by deteriorating international sales, on account of unfavorable exchange rate moves coupled with global trade tensions.

Alan B. Graf, Jr., FedEx Corp. executive vice president and chief financial officer, indicated that foreign economies’ sluggish growth and international trade disruptions are posing headwinds to the package delivery service company’s overseas revenues.

On Tuesday, FedEx reported its third quarter revenue of $17.01 billion, missing analysts’ estimates of $17.67 billion.

The company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $3.03 per share, which fell short of analysts’ expectation of $3.11 per share (based on Refinitiv poll). Earnings were also lower from the year-ago quarter’s $3.72 per share. Furthermore, the company slashed its full-year 2019 earnings guidance to a range of $15.10 and $15.90 per share, compared with analysts’ forecast of $15.97 (based on Refinitiv data).

According to Graf , FedEx has embarked upon a voluntary employee buyout program to tackle the pressure from slowing international business. Additionally, the company is constraining hiring and curbing discretionary spending, as indicated by Graf.

 

Related Ticker: FDX

FDX sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for FDX moved above the 200-day moving average on April 05, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where FDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 272 cases where FDX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDX moved out of overbought territory on April 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 08, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FDX as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDX turned negative on April 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.614) is normal, around the industry mean (19.997). P/E Ratio (16.164) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.454). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.011) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.807) is also within normal values, averaging (1.265).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Air Freight/Couriers Industry is 12.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.6M to 126.8B. UPS holds the highest valuation in this group at 126.8B. The lowest valued company is PTNYF at 2.6M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. ROYMY experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while ASNCF experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was -18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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FDXDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand

Industry AirFreightCouriers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
942 South Shady Grove Road
Phone
+1 901 818-7500
Employees
536000
Web
https://www.fedex.com
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