FedEx is challenged by deteriorating international sales, on account of unfavorable exchange rate moves coupled with global trade tensions.
Alan B. Graf, Jr., FedEx Corp. executive vice president and chief financial officer, indicated that foreign economies’ sluggish growth and international trade disruptions are posing headwinds to the package delivery service company’s overseas revenues.
On Tuesday, FedEx reported its third quarter revenue of $17.01 billion, missing analysts’ estimates of $17.67 billion.
The company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $3.03 per share, which fell short of analysts’ expectation of $3.11 per share (based on Refinitiv poll). Earnings were also lower from the year-ago quarter’s $3.72 per share. Furthermore, the company slashed its full-year 2019 earnings guidance to a range of $15.10 and $15.90 per share, compared with analysts’ forecast of $15.97 (based on Refinitiv data).
According to Graf , FedEx has embarked upon a voluntary employee buyout program to tackle the pressure from slowing international business. Additionally, the company is constraining hiring and curbing discretionary spending, as indicated by Graf.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
The RSI Oscillator for FDX moved out of oversold territory on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FDX as a result. In 64 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FDX just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where FDX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
FDX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in 226 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FDX entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.297) is normal, around the industry mean (2.645). P/E Ratio (16.414) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.719). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.224) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.761) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry OtherTransportation