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Nov 05, 2018
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FedEx (FDX, $221.66) Is Hiking Rates By 4.9% - Are Rising Fuel & Labor Costs To Blame?

FedEx (FDX, $221.66) Is Hiking Rates By 4.9% - Are Rising Fuel & Labor Costs To Blame?

FedEx will be hiking rates by an average 4.9% as of January 7, 2019.

The courier delivery company had implemented a similar increase at the start of 2018. Its latest rate hike plan is possibly propelled by higher fuel costs and rising worker wages. In the quarter ending August, its fuel costs increased 40% from the year-ago period, and labor costs were up 11%. A booming online retail market has played a major role in increasing demand for delivery services. That means, there is a burgeoning volume that courier services have to meet and manage - something that could potentially increase total costs for courier firms, and therefore induce them to hike rates as a way to cushion their profitability. 

Also, potential competition from e-commerce firm Amazon which is starting its own delivery business, could add further pressure on FedEx’s (or other delivery service firms') margins. Its competitor United Parcel Service might also increase rates by an average 5.9%, subject to government approval.

 

Related Ticker: FDX

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


FDX in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026

The 10-day moving average for FDX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FDX as a result. In 53 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FDX just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where FDX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

FDX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in 225 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 263 cases where FDX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for FDX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.378) is normal, around the industry mean (2.596). P/E Ratio (16.997) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.656). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.224) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.761) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Transportation Industry is 8.87B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 414.67K to 92.88B. UPS holds the highest valuation in this group at 92.88B. The lowest valued company is JETR at 414.67K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Transportation Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -29%. SGLY experienced the highest price growth at 32%, while SFWL experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Transportation Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand

Industry OtherTransportation

Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
942 South Shady Grove Road
Phone
+1 901 818-7500
Employees
530000
Web
https://www.fedex.com
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