FedEx (FDX, $243.41) issues solid earnings guidance
FedEx posted fourth quarter revenue that topped analysts’ expectations. The package delivery giant also issued a solid earnings outlook.
FedEx’s adjusted earnings increased +37% from the year-ago quarter to $6.87 per share, in line with the $6.88 per share Wall Street consensus estimate. The company mentioned that it passed on rising fuel costs to customers, and its labor costs were lower compared to last year.
Revenues climbed +8.1% from the year-ago quarter to $24.4 billion, compared to analysts' estimates of $24.05 billion.
Looking ahead, FedEx said it expects earnings in the range of $22.45 to $24.45 per share the coming fiscal year ending February of 2023, which would imply an expected annual growth of about 9% to 19% -- a range higher than the Street consensus of just under 9%.
The company expects to repurchase $1.5 billion of its common stock during the first half of fiscal 2023. This would be a higher pace from fiscal 2022 when the company bought back $2.2 billion of its common stock.
FDX in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on May 25, 2023
The 10-day moving average for FDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 31, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FDX as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FDX moved below its 50-day moving average on May 24, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for FDX entered a downward trend on May 16, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where FDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
FDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.283) is normal, around the industry mean (17.285). P/E Ratio (19.342) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.400). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.349) is also within normal values, averaging (12.527). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.625) is also within normal values, averaging (1.193).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FDX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry AirFreightCouriers
FDX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FDX has been loosely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FDX jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FDX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX | 100% | +2.32% | ||
| XPO - FDX | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| UPS - FDX | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.33% | ||
| EXPD - FDX | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| JBHT - FDX | 51% Loosely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| GXO - FDX | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.19% | ||
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