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Sep 16, 2020

FedEx (FDX, $253.01) beats fiscal Q1 earnings and revenue expectations

On Tuesday after the closing bell, delivery services company FedEx reported fiscal 2021 Q1 earnings results that beat analysts’ estimates.

Revenues of $19.3 billion surpassed the  $17.55 billion expected by analysts. Adjusted earnings per share of $4.87 also exceeded expectations of $2.69 per share.

According to FedEx, results got boosted in part due to volume growth in the company’s international priority and U.S. domestic residential package services. Better yields for its ground and freight services were additional tailwinds.

However, the company also experienced higher costs related to "strong demand," employee compensation, and COVID-19 precautions – factors that offset some of the gains.

 FedEx projected its capital spending for the year to be $200 million higher to $5.1 billion, "driven by additional capacity initiatives to support increased volume levels."

Tickeron's analysis suggests that  FDX is in +1.67% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on September 15, 2020

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in 221 of 359 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Current price $252.51 is above $225.84 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 08/13/20 - 09/15/20, the price experienced a +16% Uptrend. During the week of 09/08/20 - 09/15/20, the stock enjoyed a +7% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 133 of 301 cases where FDX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 44%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDX turned negative on September 03, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.

FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 62%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 3.9 to 1.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.39) is normal, around the industry mean (6.41). P/E Ratio (48.30) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.40). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.18) is also within normal values, averaging (1.09). FDX has a moderately high Dividend Yield (1.99) as compared to the industry average of (0.78). P/S Ratio (0.49) is also within normal values, averaging (3.55).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

 

Related Ticker: FDX

FDX in +0.74% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on March 19, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FDX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FDX as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FDX just turned positive on March 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where FDX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FDX entered a downward trend on March 26, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.614) is normal, around the industry mean (20.642). P/E Ratio (16.164) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.262). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.011) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.807) is also within normal values, averaging (1.303).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Air Freight/Couriers Industry is 13.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.6M to 126.8B. UPS holds the highest valuation in this group at 126.8B. The lowest valued company is PTNYF at 2.6M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. JYD experienced the highest price growth at 54%, while PDPTF experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 67%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 52% and the average quarterly volume growth was 125%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand

Industry AirFreightCouriers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
942 South Shady Grove Road
Phone
+1 901 818-7500
Employees
536000
Web
https://www.fedex.com
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