Michael Faneca's Avatar
Michael Faneca
published in Blogs
Oct 08, 2018
Financial Stocks to Watch in a Rising Rate Environment

Financial Stocks to Watch in a Rising Rate Environment

Financial stocks have historically been solid bets in rising-rate environments. Increases in the yields of the 10 and 30-year Treasuries over the past week have tripped the alarm for many investors, who see this and inflation indicators as good reasons to bet on a recession. Tech (XLK, VGT, QQQ) and other sectors are tanking along with the major indices (DIA, SPY) while international tensions mount, leaving investors wondering where they can turn.

Many investors are being encouraged to buy the dip, regardless of the sector. While this strategy may work in the long term, it may be more prudent to find strategies that have worked in historically similar markets. Stocks such as J.P. Morgan (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS), and Visa (V) are examples of companies which have performed well during months of rising-rates in the past.

Currently regional banks are surging, with the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) serving as a catch-all, and individual banks such as SVB Financial Group (SIVB) attracting investors in recent days. Bank of America (BAC) has also done well, although a high level of implied volatility in the options market surrounding the stock has some wondering what direction it will take.

Banks are likely, based on historical trends, to be more profitable during rising rate environments due to their ability to create favorable margins in the interest rates they offer banking customers on loans and savings accounts.  Insurance companies (PRU, ALL, BRK.A) also do well with rising rates, historically speaking, since they sit on substantial cash reserves that must earn returns from predominantly low-risk instruments. However, this is not necessarily the whole picture, and things do change. 

Analyst Dick Bove points out that the profiles, exposures, and competition of banks have been changing over time, and the old paradigm may be shifting. Citigroup (C) is one bank that he singles out to serve as an example. With the majority of its loan revenue coming from overseas, it has a relatively high exposure to the cost of money that will not be fully offset by the rates they can earn on loan interest. Bove feels more secure with tech-based financial institutions such as Comerica, Silicon Valley Bank, and PacWest Bancorp.  

Related Tickers: JPM
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Mar 07, 2021
4 Tricks Hedge Funds Use to Get Ahead

4 Tricks Hedge Funds Use to Get Ahead

If the stock market were Major League Baseball, hedge funds and institutional investors would be the pros on championship teams while everyday self-directed investors (SDIs) are the benchwarmers in the minors.It’s how they get ahead, and it’s why 90% of SDIs lose money trying to play (invest and trade) in the major leagues. The 4 tricks we discuss below are rooted in one common theme: they all use Artificial Intelligence and algorithms to generate data and ideas.
John Jacques's Avatar
John Jacques
published in Blogs
Mar 22, 2018
A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

Statistics for the Head-and-Shoulders Bottom Pattern The days where only hedge funds used algorithms to trade stocks are officially over. Now retail investors can use Artificial Intelligence (A.I.  Here’s an example of the algorithm in action: Late last year, Tickeron’s A.I.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Jul 10, 2020
3 Stocks to Buy if Coronavirus Second Wave Hits

3 Stocks to Buy if Coronavirus Second Wave Hits

By analyzing market trends from the first wave, you can predict behavior for the second. Technology stocks have performed at historic levels this year, but the market is severely overbought.To compensate for that, look at performance during Q1 and Q2, the height of global Covid shutdowns.
Edward Flores's Avatar
Edward Flores
published in Blogs
Feb 06, 2021
How to Become the Millionaire Next Door

How to Become the Millionaire Next Door

The Golden Gate Bridge is always a fixture of these walks too, one of man's most beautiful creations.  As we were walking, at one point she turned to me and said, "Man, I'll never have a million dollars."" My girlfriend is 27 years old and works as a graphic designer, making about $75,000 a year.
Alla Petriaieva's Avatar
Alla Petriaieva
published in Blogs
Feb 23, 2021
Is Ethereum’s Bomb about to Explode?

Is Ethereum’s Bomb about to Explode?

Ethereum’s software is set for an update in October.Until it is finished, participants in the Ethereum blockchain must determine how to delay the difficulty bomb – code that necessitates a steadily increasing amount of computer power to mine blocks and unlock rewards – that is already in place.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Aug 07, 2018
When Is the Next Recession Coming?

When Is the Next Recession Coming?

However, we also know that economists predicted 22 recessions out of 11 that took place since 1945. Are there real recession signs we should watch for?Indeed, the answer is yes, and here are a few very important ones: The first one is almost obvious and known to everyone – it is the Fed.
Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
Abhoy Sarkar
published in Blogs
May 22, 2020
Central banks have been buying $2.4 billion in assets every hour for the past two months

Central banks have been buying $2.4 billion in assets every hour for the past two months

Some $17.8 billion has been poured into  bond markets over the past week, the biggest move in more than three months.Around $3.5 billion has been invested into gold, the second largest on record. 
Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
Rick Pendergraft
published in Blogs
Feb 07, 2021
Mid-January Short Interest Report Shows 8 Stocks with Good Fundamentals and High Short Interest
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Mar 10, 2021
How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

Penny stocks have long been marginalized within the professional investment community, oftentimes being painted with a broad brush of simply being “too risky.” Leonardo DiCaprio’s depiction of the penny stock peddling conman, Jordan Belfort, in the Wolf of Wall Street certainly didn’t help.Here are four reasons to start trading them now. Reason #1: Let’s State the Obvious -- Penny Stocks are Cheap A single share of Apple Inc. costs over $350.
Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
Abhoy Sarkar
published in Blogs
May 08, 2020
US unemployment rate jumps to 14.7%, the highest in series history

US unemployment rate jumps to 14.7%, the highest in series history

The U.S. economy’s employment fell by -20.5 million in April. The coronavirus crisis led to unemployment rate soaring to 14.7% in the U.S, the highest rate in the Bureau of Labor Statistics-tracked series history that goes back to 1948. However, the figures were better compared to several economists'/analysts' forecasts of 22 million job losses and 16% unemployment rate.  Another unemployment measure that includes those who have stopped looking for work as well as those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons also touched an all-time high of 22.8%.