Ford (F, $10.31) breaks negative trend, gives hope to investors
Despite a 34% drop in first quarter net income, shares of Ford Motor rose above the $10 mark for the first time since August 2018. Valued at $41.5 billion, the automaker’s stock surged past $10 on Friday clocking its best performance since 2009. Ford’s adjusted profit for the quarter stood at 44 cents per share, beating an estimate of 27 cents per share.
However, the automaker, despite its success in North America, is still struggling in overseas markets like Europe, South America, and especially China.
To address these issues, Ford is shifting away from sedans to trucks, a risky bet that has so far paid off for investors. New cars are hitting the market, with the latest one being the revival of the long-struggling Lincoln brand as well as the big Aviator that was launched early 2019.
In China, Ford’s sales plunged by 40% last year, but even there Ford has been trying to push for a truck-based line-up. Latin America is another troubled market where the automaker is cutting costs as a way towards profit-making. In February, Ford announced its plans to close San Bernardo plant in Brazil that the automaker deemed unsustainable with only 11 trucks per employee.
Even here in the US, there’s lot to do. Ford has decided to focus on the light truck market, and has also invested $500 million in the electric start-up Rivian and $1 billion in Argo AI to ramp up its self-driving technology.
While Ford’s stock has risen 36% since the beginning of 2019, it is still early comment how the automaker’s balance sheet will look like in near future. Still, investors are still betting on Ford even though U.S. new vehicle market is gradually weakening.
Aroon Indicator for F shows an upward move is likely
F's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on August 07, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 248 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 189 of the 248 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +3.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in 232 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
F may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on F as a result. In 53 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for F turned negative on September 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
F moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for F crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. F’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.549) is normal, around the industry mean (8.840). P/E Ratio (11.838) is within average values for comparable stocks, (580.137). F's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.543) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.031). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.296) is also within normal values, averaging (2.816).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks
Industry MotorVehicles
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