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published in Blogs
Jul 02, 2020
Ford (F, $6.06) has -33%y-o-y drop in Q2 sales; rival General Motor (GM, $25.37) reports -34% decline

Ford (F, $6.06) has -33%y-o-y drop in Q2 sales; rival General Motor (GM, $25.37) reports -34% decline

Ford Motor  reported a one-third drop in second- quarter sales from a year earlier, in line with analysts’ expectations.

The automaker cited the coronavirus pandemic as a major reason behind the plunging sales.  According to the company, Ford’s total Q2 sales decreased -33.3 percent.

Daily rental revenue fell -94%, and commercial revenue plummeted -78%, due to production shutdowns.

However, Ford's retail market share grew an estimated full percentage point to 13.3%, marking its best retail share quarter in five years – as the company shifted to online and remote sales. Trucks and SUVs retail share rose by more than a percentage point to 16.5%, and they were the main drivers of  retail-share growth in the quarter.

On the other hand, General Motors  reported a -34% decline in sales for the second quarter, and Fiat Chrysler  Automobiles  had  a -38.6% decrease.

[GM & F] are closely correlated.

Both companies represent the Motor Vehicles industry

Market capitalization -- GM: $35.7B vs. F: $23.8B

Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: GM: 71% vs. F: 66%

Long term analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

GM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while F’s FA Score has 3’s green FA rating(s).

  • GM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
  • F’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators.

GM’s TA Score shows that 2 TA rating(s) are bullish while F’s TA Score has 2’s bullish TA rating(s).

  • GM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • F’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.

Industries' Descriptions

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Fundamentals

GM ($35.7B) has a higher market cap than F ($23.8B). GM has higher P/E ratio than F: -30.971 vs -34.605. GM YTD gains are higher at: -30.971 vs. F (-34.605). GM has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 19B vs. F (6.024B). GM has more cash in the bank: 40.7B vs. F (26B). GM has less debt than F: 127B vs 169B. F has higher revenues than GM: 150B vs 135B.

Support & Resistance

GM

Current price $25.37 crossed the resistance line at $24.87 and is trading between $27.05 support and $24.87 resistance lines.

Support & Resistance

F

Current price $6.06 crossed the resistance line at $5.76 and is trading between $8.03 support and $5.76 resistance lines.

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GM has been closely correlated with F. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GM jumps, then F could also see price increases.

 

 

Related Ticker: F

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


F in -3.68% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on September 16, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where F declined for three days, in 187 of 289 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on F as a result. In 48 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for F turned negative on September 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

F moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for F crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in 234 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

F may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. F’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.490) is normal, around the industry mean (8.779). P/E Ratio (11.838) is within average values for comparable stocks, (579.741). F's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.543) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.035). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.284) is also within normal values, averaging (2.589).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 70.45B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.72K to 1.41T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.41T. The lowest valued company is ZAPPF at 3.72K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19%. CENN experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while SSM experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 67% and the average quarterly volume growth was -54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 69
SMR Rating: 89
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
One American Road
Phone
+1 313 322-3000
Employees
169000
Web
https://www.ford.com
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Ford (F, $6.06) has -33%y-o-y drop in Q2 sales; rival General Motor (GM, $25.37) reports -34% decline