Ford (F, $6.06) has -33%y-o-y drop in Q2 sales; rival General Motor (GM, $25.37) reports -34% decline
Ford Motor reported a one-third drop in second- quarter sales from a year earlier, in line with analysts’ expectations.
The automaker cited the coronavirus pandemic as a major reason behind the plunging sales. According to the company, Ford’s total Q2 sales decreased -33.3 percent.
Daily rental revenue fell -94%, and commercial revenue plummeted -78%, due to production shutdowns.
However, Ford's retail market share grew an estimated full percentage point to 13.3%, marking its best retail share quarter in five years – as the company shifted to online and remote sales. Trucks and SUVs retail share rose by more than a percentage point to 16.5%, and they were the main drivers of retail-share growth in the quarter.
On the other hand, General Motors reported a -34% decline in sales for the second quarter, and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles had a -38.6% decrease.
[GM & F] are closely correlated.
Both companies represent the Motor Vehicles industry
Market capitalization -- GM: $35.7B vs. F: $23.8B
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: GM: 71% vs. F: 66%
Long term analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while F’s FA Score has 3’s green FA rating(s).
- GM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- F’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators.
GM’s TA Score shows that 2 TA rating(s) are bullish while F’s TA Score has 2’s bullish TA rating(s).
- GM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- F’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.
Industries' Descriptions
Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
Fundamentals
GM ($35.7B) has a higher market cap than F ($23.8B). GM has higher P/E ratio than F: -30.971 vs -34.605. GM YTD gains are higher at: -30.971 vs. F (-34.605). GM has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 19B vs. F (6.024B). GM has more cash in the bank: 40.7B vs. F (26B). GM has less debt than F: 127B vs 169B. F has higher revenues than GM: 150B vs 135B.
Support & Resistance
GM
Current price $25.37 crossed the resistance line at $24.87 and is trading between $27.05 support and $24.87 resistance lines.
Support & Resistance
F
Current price $6.06 crossed the resistance line at $5.76 and is trading between $8.03 support and $5.76 resistance lines.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GM has been closely correlated with F. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GM jumps, then F could also see price increases.
F in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on January 17, 2025
F broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 50 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 52 cases where F's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 03, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on F as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
F moved below its 50-day moving average on January 28, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for F entered a downward trend on January 15, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where F's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F just turned positive on January 06, 2025. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.235) is normal, around the industry mean (6.202). P/E Ratio (12.306) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.218). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.785) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.305) is also within normal values, averaging (77.712).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. F’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks
Industry MotorVehicles