Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 02, 2020

Ford (F, $6.06) has -33%y-o-y drop in Q2 sales; rival General Motor (GM, $25.37) reports -34% decline

Ford Motor  reported a one-third drop in second- quarter sales from a year earlier, in line with analysts’ expectations.

The automaker cited the coronavirus pandemic as a major reason behind the plunging sales.  According to the company, Ford’s total Q2 sales decreased -33.3 percent.

Daily rental revenue fell -94%, and commercial revenue plummeted -78%, due to production shutdowns.

However, Ford's retail market share grew an estimated full percentage point to 13.3%, marking its best retail share quarter in five years – as the company shifted to online and remote sales. Trucks and SUVs retail share rose by more than a percentage point to 16.5%, and they were the main drivers of  retail-share growth in the quarter.

On the other hand, General Motors  reported a -34% decline in sales for the second quarter, and Fiat Chrysler  Automobiles  had  a -38.6% decrease.

[GM & F] are closely correlated.

Both companies represent the Motor Vehicles industry

Market capitalization -- GM: $35.7B vs. F: $23.8B

Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: GM: 71% vs. F: 66%

Long term analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

GM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while F’s FA Score has 3’s green FA rating(s).

  • GM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
  • F’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators.

GM’s TA Score shows that 2 TA rating(s) are bullish while F’s TA Score has 2’s bullish TA rating(s).

  • GM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • F’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.

Industries' Descriptions

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Fundamentals

GM ($35.7B) has a higher market cap than F ($23.8B). GM has higher P/E ratio than F: -30.971 vs -34.605. GM YTD gains are higher at: -30.971 vs. F (-34.605). GM has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 19B vs. F (6.024B). GM has more cash in the bank: 40.7B vs. F (26B). GM has less debt than F: 127B vs 169B. F has higher revenues than GM: 150B vs 135B.

Support & Resistance

GM

Current price $25.37 crossed the resistance line at $24.87 and is trading between $27.05 support and $24.87 resistance lines.

Support & Resistance

F

Current price $6.06 crossed the resistance line at $5.76 and is trading between $8.03 support and $5.76 resistance lines.

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GM has been closely correlated with F. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GM jumps, then F could also see price increases.

 

 

Related Tickers: F
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