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published in Blogs
Jul 02, 2020

Ford (F, $6.06) has -33%y-o-y drop in Q2 sales; rival General Motor (GM, $25.37) reports -34% decline

Ford Motor  reported a one-third drop in second- quarter sales from a year earlier, in line with analysts’ expectations.

The automaker cited the coronavirus pandemic as a major reason behind the plunging sales.  According to the company, Ford’s total Q2 sales decreased -33.3 percent.

Daily rental revenue fell -94%, and commercial revenue plummeted -78%, due to production shutdowns.

However, Ford's retail market share grew an estimated full percentage point to 13.3%, marking its best retail share quarter in five years – as the company shifted to online and remote sales. Trucks and SUVs retail share rose by more than a percentage point to 16.5%, and they were the main drivers of  retail-share growth in the quarter.

On the other hand, General Motors  reported a -34% decline in sales for the second quarter, and Fiat Chrysler  Automobiles  had  a -38.6% decrease.

[GM & F] are closely correlated.

Both companies represent the Motor Vehicles industry

Market capitalization -- GM: $35.7B vs. F: $23.8B

Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: GM: 71% vs. F: 66%

Long term analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

GM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while F’s FA Score has 3’s green FA rating(s).

  • GM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
  • F’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators.

GM’s TA Score shows that 2 TA rating(s) are bullish while F’s TA Score has 2’s bullish TA rating(s).

  • GM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • F’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.

Industries' Descriptions

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Fundamentals

GM ($35.7B) has a higher market cap than F ($23.8B). GM has higher P/E ratio than F: -30.971 vs -34.605. GM YTD gains are higher at: -30.971 vs. F (-34.605). GM has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 19B vs. F (6.024B). GM has more cash in the bank: 40.7B vs. F (26B). GM has less debt than F: 127B vs 169B. F has higher revenues than GM: 150B vs 135B.

Support & Resistance

GM

Current price $25.37 crossed the resistance line at $24.87 and is trading between $27.05 support and $24.87 resistance lines.

Support & Resistance

F

Current price $6.06 crossed the resistance line at $5.76 and is trading between $8.03 support and $5.76 resistance lines.

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GM has been closely correlated with F. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GM jumps, then F could also see price increases.

 

 

Related Ticker: F

Momentum Indicator for F turns negative, indicating new downward trend

F saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for F moved out of overbought territory on April 04, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for F turned negative on April 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

F moved below its 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

F may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 239 cases where F Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.235) is normal, around the industry mean (6.005). P/E Ratio (12.306) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.064). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.785) is also within normal values, averaging (5.553). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.305) is also within normal values, averaging (74.209).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 31.88B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 559.85B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 559.85B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. FSRN experienced the highest price growth at 143%, while ZAPP experienced the biggest fall at -43%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -24% and the average quarterly volume growth was 13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
One American Road
Phone
+1 313 322-3000
Employees
177000
Web
https://www.ford.com
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