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Aug 06, 2019
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Ford Motor (F, $9.42) gets rating and price target raise from Morgan Stanley

Ford Motor (F, $9.42) gets rating and price target raise from Morgan Stanley

Ford Motor Co. shares got a boost in rating and a hike in price target from Morgan Stanley analysts.

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas raised his rating on the automaker to 'Overweight' from 'Equalweight" in a client note Tuesday. He also increased his target price on the stock by 205 to $12 per share. Jonas sees tailwinds to the company from its recent partnership with Volkswagen AG coupled with its electric vehicle plans. 

Morgan Stanley’s revised outlook indicates that Ford’s free cash flow is expected to be in line with or exceed its dividend payment – a more optimistic view compared to the bank’s prior free cash flow forecasts which fell short of cash return.

Earlier this year, Ford announced its trans-Atlantic partnership  with Volkswagen at the Detroit Auto Show. The collaboration will focus on commercial vehicles and could later expand to electric and self-driving vehicles.

Related Ticker: F

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


F's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for F moved out of oversold territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 68 cases where F's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In 62 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Following a +5.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in 224 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

F may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for F moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator for F entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. F’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.380) is normal, around the industry mean (1.930). P/E Ratio (-6.645) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.638). F's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.543) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.049) settles around the average of (0.141) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.284) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 78.77B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 669 to 1.59T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.59T. The lowest valued company is PEVM at 669.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -32%. VFS experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while FFAI experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 72
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks

Industry MotorVehicles

Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
One American Road
Phone
+1 313 322-3000
Employees
169000
Web
https://www.ford.com
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