GET DAILY SIGNALSFord Motor’s (F, $8.76) U.S. auto sales fell -15.6% in 2020
Ford Motor’s U.S. auto sales plunged -15.6% in 2020, due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, a decrease in commercial fleet sales, and lower inventories of its F-150 pickup trucks.
Fourth quarter sales of the full-size pickup fell -33% year-over-year, amid factory shutdowns last spring due to Covid-19 as well as a changeover in production of the facilities to produce the redesigned F-150.
“We’re optimizing the production at both plants right now and it’s a matter of getting more F-150s out to our dealer lots,” Erich Merkle, Ford’s head of U.S. sales analysis, told CNBC. He said inventories of the F-150 were 141,000 units as of end last year, compared to 267,000 a year earlier.
The company’s truck sales fell -11.3% in 2020. Its SUVs were - 9.7% lower year over year. Sales of passenger cars, which Ford is discontinuing, aside from key models such as the Mustang, decreased -44.7% in 2020.
The overall U.S. automotive industry sales were estimated to decrease -15% to 14.5 million vehicles in 2020. That would be the lowest domestic sales since 2012. It also marks a departure from the five-year streak of sales exceeding 17 million units.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
F in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026
F may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 40 cases where F's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where F's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In 63 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +5.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in 224 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 61 cases where F's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for F moved below the 200-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for F entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. F’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.389) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (-6.688) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.300). F's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.543) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.048) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.284) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks
Industry MotorVehicles
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