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Nov 23, 2020
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Gap (GPS, $26.22) gets rating boost at J.P. Morgan

Gap (GPS, $26.22) gets rating boost at J.P. Morgan

Shares of clothing retailer Gap  got a rating upgrade from analysts at J.P. Morgan.

J.P. Morgan analysts boosted their rating on the stock to overweight from neutral . They also hiked their  price target on the shares to $30 a share from $22. 

J.P. Morgan analyst Matthew Boss said, "Looking forward, we see an embedded call option on Gap/Banana Republic with zero value attributed to the two brands today," adding, "despite a potential near-term catalyst path with the Kanye West 'YZY Gap' launch in fiscal 2021 as a brand accelerator for Gap and a rotation back to workwear in light of vaccine news, a catalyst at Banana Republic, consistent with our 3-wave retail 'recovery.'" 

According to Boss, Gap has underperformed the S&P 500 by 50% over the past three years, thereby supporting  its upside potential.

J.P. Morgan increased its third-quarter same-store-sales estimate to -0.2%, vs. consensus estimate of -2.5%. J.P. Morgan estimates point to a third-quarter earnings of 40 cents per share vs. the consensus  estimate of 31 cents. 

 

 

 

 

Related Ticker: GAP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for GAP turns negative, indicating new downward trend

GAP saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 65 of the 79 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GAP turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator for GAP entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

GAP moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +5.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in 229 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

GAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.910) is normal, around the industry mean (1.858). P/E Ratio (6.262) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.576). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.247) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.499) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 8.95B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 131.6K to 189.04B. IDEXF holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.04B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 131.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. REF experienced the highest price growth at 28%, while DBGI experienced the biggest fall at -66%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
Two Folsom Street
Phone
+1 415 427-0100
Employees
79000
Web
https://www.gapinc.com
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