Breaking away from a prolonged 52 weeks low, Gap is ready for a comeback for the stock as shares of the company surged over 20% earlier this month after it announced the split of its Old Navy business from the rest of the company brands.
Last Wednesday the company saw its average daily call volume increase two-fold despite the company announcing the closure of its 100 Arden Pl. store, after being operational for nearly 27 years. Traders also highlighted that there was ample optimism surrounding the company after it recently announced its restructuring plan and expects GAP’s shares to reach $28.27 by June expiration, resulting into the purchase of 6,000 June 27- calls for $1.27 per options contract.
However, Gap’s overall performance for the full year has been unremarkable as shares of Gap are up just over 1% this year in contrast to the broader retailer group’s gains of 10%.
Interestingly at its current price point, the company’s market capitalization stood at $10.13 billion with 387.86 million shares outstanding. And on the last trading day of the month GAP’s daily trade volume clocked 5,274,498 shares which when compared with its usual volume of about 5.79 million shares per day of trading, fell marginally short.
The Aroon Indicator for GPS entered a downward trend on April 25, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 178 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 178 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GPS as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GPS turned negative on April 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
GPS moved below its 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GPS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
GPS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.922) is normal, around the industry mean (3.862). P/E Ratio (20.336) is within average values for comparable stocks, (100.955). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.003) is also within normal values, averaging (1.444). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.688) is also within normal values, averaging (2.003).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GPS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail