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Mar 29, 2019
Gap (GPS, $26.22) may be ready for a rebound after hitting 52 weeks low

Gap (GPS, $26.22) may be ready for a rebound after hitting 52 weeks low

Breaking away from a prolonged 52 weeks low, Gap is ready for a comeback for the stock as shares of the company surged over 20% earlier this month after it announced the split of its Old Navy business from the rest of the company brands.

Last Wednesday the company saw its average daily call volume increase two-fold despite the company announcing the closure of its 100 Arden Pl. store, after being operational for nearly 27 years. Traders also highlighted that there was ample optimism surrounding the company after it recently announced its restructuring plan and expects GAP’s shares to reach $28.27 by June expiration, resulting into the purchase of 6,000 June 27- calls for $1.27 per options contract.

However, Gap’s overall performance for the full year has been unremarkable as shares of Gap are up just over 1% this year in contrast to the broader retailer group’s gains of 10%.

Interestingly at its current price point, the company’s market capitalization stood at $10.13 billion with 387.86 million shares outstanding. And on the last trading day of the month GAP’s daily trade volume clocked 5,274,498 shares which when compared with its usual volume of about 5.79 million shares per day of trading, fell marginally short.

Related Ticker: GAP

GAP's RSI Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 210 cases where GAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GAP as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GAP turned negative on February 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

GAP moved below its 50-day moving average on March 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GAP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.374) is normal, around the industry mean (6.021). P/E Ratio (10.486) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.863). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.379) is also within normal values, averaging (2.222). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.584) is also within normal values, averaging (2.281).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Guess (null:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 19.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 198.08B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 198.08B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. CURV experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while VSCO experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -93%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -73% and the average quarterly volume growth was -90%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. GAP showed earnings on March 05, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

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