Gap (GPS, $27.38) misses Q4 revenue expectations
Gap Inc. reported lower-than-expected revenue for the fourth quarter, as same-store sales plunged at its Gap and Banana Republic stores. However, the retail company beat earnings expectations.
Gap’s diluted earnings came in at 61 cents a share with revenue of $4.4 billion for the quarter. That includes 45 cents a share for non-recurring tax benefits and 12 cents a share in impairment charges related to its Intermix business, which is under strategic review. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected 19 cents a share, on sales of $4.7 billion.
Same-store sales at its namesake stores fell -6%. amid COVID-mandated store closures and restrictions in Canada, China, Europe and Japan. But North America comparable sales were positive.
Banana Republic Global comparable sales plummeted -22%. Athleta stores had +26% rise in comparable sales, while Old Navy stores comparable sales increased +6%.
Digital sales increased +49%, representing 46% of net sales during the quarter.
For fiscal 2021, Gap is projecting earnings to be in the range of $1.20 to $1.35 per share. Analysts had been expecting earnings of $1.28 per share.
The company is expecting net sales to be up a mid- to high-teens percentage compared with 2020, assuming Covid-related effects continue in the first half of 2021, and the retailer returns to pre-pandemic level of sales in the second half of the year, the company said. Analysts predicted year-over-year revenue growth of 14.1%, according to Refinitiv poll.
Momentum Indicator for GAP turns negative, indicating new downward trend
GAP saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on July 14, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GAP turned negative on July 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GAP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 221 cases where GAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.922) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (20.336) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.003) is also within normal values, averaging (1.444). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.688) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
Advertisement