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Mar 02, 2023

Gap (The) (GPS, $12.56) fundamental analysis of earnings

The Gap, Inc. is a popular retail clothing company that operates globally, offering apparel, accessories, and personal care products under various brand names such as Gap, Banana Republic, and Old Navy. The company's financial performance is an essential indicator for investors, and fundamental analysis is one of the methods used to evaluate it.

Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating a company's financial health by examining its financial statements, economic and industry conditions, and management.

In the case of Gap, Inc., the company's earnings have been mixed in recent years. In the fiscal year 2021, the company's revenue increased by 7%, but its net income declined by 15%. This decline in net income was due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the company's operations.

However, the company's financial performance has improved in recent quarters. In the third quarter of the fiscal year 2022, Gap, Inc. reported a net income of $233 million, up from $131 million in the same quarter of the previous year. The company's revenue also increased by 13% to $4.4 billion.

Despite the company's improving financial performance, Gap, Inc.'s Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turned negative on February 09, 2023. The MACD is a technical analysis tool that uses moving averages to identify changes in momentum and trend. When the MACD turns negative, it suggests that the stock price could decline going forward, which is a bearish signal.

According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which analyzed 57 instances where the MACD turned negative, in 48 of those cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 84%.

Investors should take note of the MACD signal, but it is important to remember that technical analysis tools are not always accurate predictors of stock price movements. The MACD signal should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis to get a more comprehensive view of a company's financial health and growth potential.

In summary, Gap, Inc.'s profits performance has been inconsistent over the past few years, although it has improved recently. On February 9, 2023, the stock's MACD became negative, which is a bearish indicator and signals that the stock price may decrease moving forward. To make wise investing selections, investors should combine fundamental analysis with technical analysis tools like the MACD.

Related Ticker: GPS

Momentum Indicator for GPS turns negative, indicating new downward trend

GPS saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on February 16, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GPS turned negative on February 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

GPS moved below its 50-day moving average on February 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GPS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where GPS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPS advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 236 cases where GPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.856) is normal, around the industry mean (4.013). P/E Ratio (172.182) is within average values for comparable stocks, (102.990). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.003) is also within normal values, averaging (1.333). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.471) is also within normal values, averaging (2.053).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GPS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 12.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. CURV experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while DBGI experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 25%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 45% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -7 (-100 ... +100)
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GPSDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
Two Folsom Street
Phone
+1 415 427-0100
Employees
95000
Web
https://www.gapinc.com
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GPS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPS has been loosely correlated with DBI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPS jumps, then DBI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GPS
1D Price
Change %
GPS100%
-2.34%
DBI - GPS
56%
Loosely correlated
-0.88%
ROST - GPS
51%
Loosely correlated
+0.55%
BKE - GPS
51%
Loosely correlated
-1.88%
SCVL - GPS
50%
Loosely correlated
-2.08%
AEO - GPS
50%
Loosely correlated
-1.63%
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