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Mar 06, 2019

General Electric (GE, $9.14) expects negative free cash flow in 2019

In a meeting with a J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM) analyst on Tuesday, the CEO of General Electric, Larry Culp, said that the company’s free cash flow – money left over after a company pays for operating expenses and capital spending – will be negative in 2019. After Culp’s comments, GE’s shares plunged nearly 4.7% to end the day at $9.89.

Free cash flow is often an indicator of a company's operating efficiency and as such is closely watched by investors.

The company generated ~$4.5 billion of free cash flow last year, but if it’s going negative from there, that means it is struggling with a few pressing issues. According to Culp, these are a combination of operational pressure, power, renewables, and then the non-operational pressures which he calls ‘policy.’ Culp further added that he is currently focussing on improving the company’s cash generation, as well as cutting costs.

However, prior to this meeting, the J.P. Morgan analyst had already warned investors not to get blind-sided by GE’s apparent gains, as the company’s prized aviation financing and leasing business are already in liquidation mode and has weakening earnings.

In reply, Culp assured that his team is fully committed to improve their disclosers and that investors need to remain patient through the restructuring process.

Despite this assurance, Culp has painted a realistic picture of where GE’s battered power business will struggle even more than last year resulting in a greater level of negative free cash flow. It may take another two years to turn around in this segment.

Culp also confirmed oxidation issues with the company’s line of gas-fired power turbines, called H-class turbines. But he added that these have been timely addressed by already upgrading 23 out of the 33 turbines.

Related Ticker: GE

GE in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on June 25, 2024

The 10-day moving average for GE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where GE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GE as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GE moved below its 50-day moving average on July 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for GE entered a downward trend on June 26, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GE just turned positive on July 08, 2024. Looking at past instances where GE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GE advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 61%.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.831) is normal, around the industry mean (7.941). P/E Ratio (41.845) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.005). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.918) is also within normal values, averaging (1.947). GE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.004) as compared to the industry average of (0.016). P/S Ratio (2.517) is also within normal values, averaging (4.245).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Spirit Aerosystems Holdings (NYSE:SPR), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 174.05B. GE holds the highest valuation in this group at 174.05B. The lowest valued company is ASDN at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 28%. AZ experienced the highest price growth at 94%, while NRPI experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -45% and the average quarterly volume growth was -53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of products for the generation, transmission, distribution, control and utilization of electricity; manufactures aircraft engines and medical equipment

Industry AerospaceDefense

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Industrial Conglomerates
Address
One Financial Center
Phone
+1 617 443-3000
Employees
125000
Web
https://www.geaerospace.com
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