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Jul 01, 2020
General Mills (GIS, $60.56) beats fiscal Q4 earnings expectations

General Mills (GIS, $60.56) beats fiscal Q4 earnings expectations

General Mills reported fiscal fourth quarter earnings and sales that surpassed analysts’ expectations. The food company’s results were bolstered by  at-home food demand amid the coronavirus crisis.

 Adjusted earnings for the quarter rose to  $1.10 an adjusted share, from the year-ago quarter’s 94 cents a share. The figure beat the $1.06 expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

Sales climbed +21% year-over-year to $5.02 billion,  compared to analysts’ estimate of $5 billion.

Strong demand for  baking goods, cereals, snacks and pastries led to accelerated net sales growth in the North America Retail segment, according to the company.  At-home demand was less strong in Europe and Australia.

General Mills said is not providing any guidance for fiscal 2021. The company indicated  that there is high uncertainty regarding the degree of consumers’ preference for stay-at-home vs. eating and dining-out habits as how the economy recovers from the pandemic is still uncertain.

Tickeron sees GIS in Uptrend: Stochastic indicator leaves oversold zone

Leaving the oversold zone means the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. This is a chance to buy the ticker or explore call options. In 29 of 56 cases where GIS's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.

Current price $60.56 crossed the resistance line at $61.27 and is trading between $61.27 resistance and $58.85 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/29/20 - 06/30/20, the price experienced a -2% Downtrend, while the week of 06/23/20 - 06/30/20 shows a +1% Uptrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 22 of 49 similar backtested cases where GIS's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 45%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GIS advanced for three days, in 161 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 22, 2020. Traders may consider selling the ticker, shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 43 of 97 cases where GIS's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 44%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 26 of 54 cases where GIS's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 48%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed below its 50-day Moving Average on June 30, 2020. This can be construed as a sell signal, indicating that the trend is shifting lower. In 8 of 17 cases where GIS's 10-day Moving Average crossed below its 50-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 47%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 76%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.36.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.93) is normal, around the industry mean (4.29). P/E Ratio (17.73) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.87). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.43) is also within normal values, averaging (1.27). Dividend Yield (3.71) settles around the average of (2.37) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.97) is also within normal values, averaging (2.19).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Related Ticker: GIS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


GIS's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GIS entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 269 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 166 of the 269 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 62%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GIS as a result. In 50 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GIS turned negative on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.

GIS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GIS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GIS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 21 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GIS advanced for three days, in 163 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

GIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.411) is normal, around the industry mean (5.422). P/E Ratio (9.235) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.504). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (11.737) is also within normal values, averaging (8.458). GIS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.073) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (1.074) is also within normal values, averaging (4.925).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Kraft Heinz Company (The) (NYSE:KHC), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ:CPB), Beyond Meat Inc. (NASDAQ:BYND).

Industry description

Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Major Diversified Industry is 2.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 68.81K to 239.66B. NSRGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 239.66B. The lowest valued company is THRC at 68.81K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Major Diversified Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17%. LW experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while STKH experienced the biggest fall at -55%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Major Diversified Industry was 30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 34% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of consumer food products

Industry FoodMajorDiversified

Industry
Food Major Diversified
Address
Number One General Mills Boulevard
Phone
+1 763 764-7600
Employees
30000
Web
https://www.generalmills.com
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