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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 10, 2019
Gentex Corp. hits lower rail of trend channel ahead of earnings

Gentex Corp. hits lower rail of trend channel ahead of earnings

Gentex Corp. (Nasdaq: GNTX) is set to release third quarter earnings results on October 18 and the automotive equipment manufacturer is expected to report earnings of $0.42 per share and that would match the results from last year. The company manufactures auto-dimming mirrors, and other electronic items for automobile manufacturers.

Over the last three years, the company has been able to grow earnings at a rate of 16% per year, but earnings are only expected to grow by 4% in 2019. Sales have grown at a rate of 4% per year over the last three years and are expected to increase by 2.8% this year.

Looking at some of the fundamental indicators from Tickeron’s Fundamental Analysis Overview, the Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for Gentex is 24. This indicates low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock well above average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for Gentex is 27 and that points to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 indicates highest PE growth while a rating of 100 indicates lowest PE growth.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating for Gentex is 33 and that indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.

The chart for Gentex shows that the stock has been trending higher since late March and a trend channel has formed in the last six months. The stock recently hit the lower rail of the channel as the overbought/oversold indicators have reached oversold territory.

The daily stochastic readings are the lowest they have been since February and they made a bullish crossover on October 9. The 10-day RSI reached its lowest level of the past nine months and has since turned higher.

In addition to the oversold readings from the stochastics and RSI, the stock broke below the lower Bollinger Band earlier in October. In 28 of 44 cases where GNTX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 64%.

Sentiment toward Gentex is rather bearish, especially the analysts’ ratings. There are currently nine analysts covering the stock with only one “buy” rating. There are five “hold” ratings and three “sell” ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 11.1% and that is one of the lowest buy percentages I have seen recently.

The short interest ratio is currently at 3.89 and that is slightly above average.

When viewing the sentiment, I prefer to use it in a contrarian manner, but you don’t want to be contrarian just for the sake of betting against other investors or analysts. The idea is that you have bearish sentiment toward a stock that has been moving higher and a company with strong fundamentals. Gentex certainly seems to fit that scenario.

Related Ticker: GNTX

GNTX sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

GNTX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on February 20, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GNTX as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GNTX moved below its 50-day moving average on February 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GNTX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GNTX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GNTX advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GNTX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.911) is normal, around the industry mean (2.065). P/E Ratio (12.684) is within average values for comparable stocks, (47.217). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.755) is also within normal values, averaging (1.426). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.897) is also within normal values, averaging (6.408).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GNTX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GNTX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 7.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 206 to 80.01B. ORLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 80.01B. The lowest valued company is JBZY at 206.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. NPSKF experienced the highest price growth at 76%, while SES experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was 251%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -32 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. GNTX showed earnings on January 30, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of automotive and fire protection products

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Auto Parts OEM
Address
600 North Centennial Street
Phone
+1 616 772-1800
Employees
6245
Web
https://www.gentex.com
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