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May 28, 2019

Germany ETF generates a bullish signal after gap higher

The iShares MSCI Germany ETF (NYSE: EWG) gapped lower on May 23 and then gapped higher on May 24. The interesting thing is that the gap lower caused the ETF to move outside of a trend channel that has defined the various cycles over the last few months and the gap higher moved it back into the channel.

The oscillators aren’t in oversold territory, but the stochastic readings did come close and have now made a bullish crossover.

One potential concern is the fact that the 10-day moving average just crossed bearishly below the 50-day. The moving averages hadn’t made a bearish cross like that since last August. At the time of the last bearish crossover, the EWG was in a similar pattern with a tight trend channel, but that channel was downwardly sloped.

I am more bullish than bearish on EWG and part of the reason is due to a bullish signal from the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine. The engine produced a bullish signal for the EWG on May 23. The confidence level for the signal was 89% and 85% of past signals on the fund have been successful. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.

Related Ticker: EWG

EWG in -0.51% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on March 22, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where EWG declined for three days, in of 242 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EWG moved out of overbought territory on March 28, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

EWG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EWG just turned positive on March 27, 2024. Looking at past instances where EWG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWG advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 277 cases where EWG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Germany Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in depositary receipts representing securities of the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the German equity market. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Germany ETF ETF is 57.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 64.65K to 334.18B. MRK holds the highest valuation in this group at 334.18B. The lowest valued company is BAYN at 64.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Germany ETF ETF was 1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 21%. MRK experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while ALV experienced the biggest fall at -1%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Germany ETF ETF was 11%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 24% and the average quarterly volume growth was 33%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 57
Seasonality Score: 54 (-100 ... +100)
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