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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 28, 2019

Germany ETF generates a bullish signal after gap higher

The iShares MSCI Germany ETF (NYSE: EWG) gapped lower on May 23 and then gapped higher on May 24. The interesting thing is that the gap lower caused the ETF to move outside of a trend channel that has defined the various cycles over the last few months and the gap higher moved it back into the channel.

The oscillators aren’t in oversold territory, but the stochastic readings did come close and have now made a bullish crossover.

One potential concern is the fact that the 10-day moving average just crossed bearishly below the 50-day. The moving averages hadn’t made a bearish cross like that since last August. At the time of the last bearish crossover, the EWG was in a similar pattern with a tight trend channel, but that channel was downwardly sloped.

I am more bullish than bearish on EWG and part of the reason is due to a bullish signal from the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine. The engine produced a bullish signal for the EWG on May 23. The confidence level for the signal was 89% and 85% of past signals on the fund have been successful. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.

Related Ticker: EWG

Momentum Indicator for EWG turns positive, indicating new upward trend

EWG saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 26, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EWG just turned positive on June 30, 2025. Looking at past instances where EWG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWG advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 280 cases where EWG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EWG moved out of overbought territory on May 29, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EWG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

EWG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 27, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Germany Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in depositary receipts representing securities of the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the German equity market. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Germany ETF ETF is 62.3B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 64.65K to 331.75B. MRK holds the highest valuation in this group at 331.75B. The lowest valued company is BAYN at 64.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Germany ETF ETF was 2%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 35%. ENR experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while BNR experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Germany ETF ETF was 10%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was 118%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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