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Jun 13, 2025

GitLab (GTLB) Stock Analysis: June 2025 Market Trends, AI Perspectives, and Trading Techniques

GitLab Inc. (GTLB), a leading web-based DevOps lifecycle tool, has captured significant investor attention in 2025 due to its robust performance and strategic advancements in AI integration. This article provides an in-depth analysis of GTLB’s recent stock performance, key market news as of June 8, 2025, and trading strategies powered by Tickeron’s AI tools. It includes a comparison with a highly correlated stock, an inverse ETF, and insights into how Tickeron’s AI Trading Agents enhance trading precision for GTLB.

GTLB’s Recent Performance: A Statistical Overview

Over the past five trading days ending June 8, 2025, GitLab’s stock gained +6.29%, with an average daily trading volume of 289,842 shares. This upward movement reflects strong market interest, driven by positive sentiment around GitLab’s AI-driven product enhancements and solid financial metrics. As of June 10, 2025, GTLB reported Q1 2025 revenue of $214.5 million, a +26.8% year-over-year (YoY) increase, beating consensus estimates of $213 million by 0.9%. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.17, surpassing estimates of $0.15 by 13.3%. The company’s free cash flow (FCF) margin improved significantly to 48.5%, up +26.4 percentage points YoY, highlighting operational efficiency. However, the dollar-based net retention rate (DBNR) slightly declined to 122% from 123% in the prior quarter, signaling a minor slowdown in customer expansion. GitLab’s remaining performance obligation (RPO) stood at $960 million, underscoring strong future revenue potential.

Key Market News Driving GTLB as of June 8, 2025

The market environment on June 8, 2025, was marked by volatility, with significant news impacting tech stocks like GTLB. Posts on X highlighted GitLab’s Q1 2025 earnings preview, with analysts anticipating revenue growth of +25.7% YoY and EPS growth of +400% YoY, setting high expectations. Additionally, broader market trends showed tech giants like NVIDIA, Tesla, Meta, Palantir, and Amazon surging over 40% in April 2025, fueled by AI breakthroughs and strong earnings, creating a favorable environment for AI-focused companies like GitLab. Investors also noted GitLab’s $1.1 billion cash reserve, up $110 million from Q4, enabling further investment in native AI integration, which bolstered retail sentiment. However, mixed macroeconomic signals, including U.S. GDP contraction and trade policy shifts, introduced uncertainty, prompting traders to leverage AI tools for navigating volatility.

Comparison with a Highly Correlated Stock: Atlassian (TEAM)

GitLab’s stock exhibits a high correlation with Atlassian Corporation (TEAM), another software development and collaboration platform. Over the past year, GTLB and TEAM have moved in lockstep approximately 65% of the time, driven by their shared focus on DevOps and enterprise software. As of June 8, 2025, TEAM’s stock gained +4.8% over the past five trading days, slightly underperforming GTLB’s +6.29%. Atlassian reported Q3 FY2025 revenue of $1.2 billion, up +21% YoY, but its slower growth compared to GitLab’s +26.8% reflects GitLab’s stronger momentum in AI-driven product adoption. While TEAM benefits from a broader customer base, GitLab’s open-source model and AI integrations position it as a more dynamic growth story, making it a preferred choice for traders seeking upside potential.

Stock price — (GTLB: $48.51 vs. TEAM: $213.05)

Brand notoriety: GTLB: Not notable vs. TEAM: Notable

Both companies represent the Packaged Software industry

Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: GTLB: 379% vs. TEAM: 86%

Market capitalization — GTLB: $9.25B vs. TEAM: $50.2B

GTLB [Packaged Software] is valued at $9.25B. TEAM’s [Packaged Software] market capitalization is $50.2B. The market cap for tickers in the [Packaged Software] industry ranges from $3.15T to $0. The average market capitalization across the [Packaged Software] industry is $12.7B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

 

GTLB’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTEAM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • GTLB’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
  • TEAM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.

According to our system of comparison, TEAM is a better buy in the long-term than GTLB.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% – 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

GTLB’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEAM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • GTLB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • TEAM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.

According to our system of comparison, GTLB is a better buy in the short-term than TEAM.

Price Growth

GTLB (Packaged Software) experienced а +3.94% price change this week, while TEAM (Packaged Software) price change was +1.02% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software industry was +2.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was +49.40%.

Reported Earning Dates

GTLB is expected to report earnings on Sep 09, 2025.

TEAM is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2025.

Industries’ Descriptions

Packaged Software (+2.15% weekly)

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually. Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Inverse ETF Comparison: ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID)

For traders looking to hedge or capitalize on potential declines in GTLB, the ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID) offers an inverse ETF option. QID seeks to deliver twice the inverse daily performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index, which includes GTLB and other tech-heavy stocks. Given GTLB’s high correlation with the NASDAQ-100 (approximately 70% over the past year), QID serves as an effective anti-correlated instrument. For instance, during a 9.28% quarterly decline in the S&P 500, QID and similar inverse ETFs provided hedging opportunities, with Tickeron’s Double Agent Bot achieving a +9.77% gain by leveraging such instruments. However, inverse ETFs like QID carry significant risks, including amplified losses in bullish markets and decay from daily rebalancing, making them suitable primarily for short-term strategies.

Understanding Inverse ETFs in GTLB Trading

Inverse ETFs like QID are designed to profit when the underlying index or asset declines, offering traders a tool to hedge against downturns or speculate on bearish trends. For GTLB, which is sensitive to tech sector sentiment, QID can mitigate risks during market corrections. Tickeron’s Financial Learning Models (FLMs) enhance the use of inverse ETFs by providing precise entry and exit signals, reducing the risks of mistimed trades. For example, Tickeron’s AI identified a bullish moving average crossover for GTLB on May 7, 2025, but also flagged potential resistance zones, enabling traders to hedge with QID during volatile periods. Traders must exercise caution, as inverse ETFs are best used in short-term, high-volatility scenarios due to their complex mechanics and potential for significant losses.

Tickeron’s AI Trading Agents: Powering GTLB Strategies

Tickeron, under the leadership of CEO Sergey Savastiouk, has revolutionized trading through its AI-powered Financial Learning Models (FLMs). These models integrate machine learning with technical analysis to identify high-probability trade setups for stocks like GTLB. Tickeron’s Double Agent Trading Bot, for instance, provides dual-perspective signals, capturing both bullish and bearish trends, which is critical for a volatile stock like GTLB. The bot’s ability to analyze real-time intraday signals and hedge with inverse ETFs like QID has delivered impressive results, such as a +9.77% quarterly gain in a declining market. Additionally, Tickeron’s user-friendly bots cater to beginners, while high-liquidity stock robots ensure efficient trade execution, making it an ideal platform for GTLB traders seeking precision and adaptability.

Trading Strategies and Outlook for GTLB

GTLB’s technical indicators suggest continued bullish momentum. The 10-day moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average on May 6, 2025, signaling a potential buy opportunity, with 13 prior instances showing a 70% likelihood of further gains within a month. Tickeron’s AI Pattern Search Engine also detected a “Zone of Strength” from May 28 to June 6, 2025, reinforcing positive sentiment. Traders can optimize strategies by combining long positions in GTLB with hedges via QID during macroeconomic uncertainty. GitLab’s $1.1 billion cash reserve and focus on AI integration position it for sustained growth, with analysts projecting a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio below 7, making it an attractive value play at a $7 billion market cap.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: GTLB, TEAM

GTLB saw its Stochastic Oscillator leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for GTLB moved out of overbought territory on June 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 41 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GTLB moved out of overbought territory on May 15, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GTLB as a result. In of 67 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GTLB turned negative on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 33 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

GTLB moved below its 50-day moving average on June 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GTLB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for GTLB entered a downward trend on June 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for GTLB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GTLB advanced for three days, in of 220 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GTLB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GTLB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.432) is normal, around the industry mean (31.685). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (163.514). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.724). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (14.771) is also within normal values, averaging (61.551).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GTLB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 44%. RKNEF experienced the highest price growth at 274%, while EVAHF experienced the biggest fall at -45%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -46%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -33% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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