Go to the list of all blogs
Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 02, 2025
Top Profit Factors Achieved by AI Trading Agents: Performance Evaluation as of June 2, 2025

Top Profit Factors Achieved by AI Trading Agents: Performance Evaluation as of June 2, 2025

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in financial markets continues to evolve rapidly, with AI trading agents now achieving levels of performance that rival—and in some cases, surpass—those of traditional investment strategies. On June 2, 2025, a performance snapshot of leading AI-driven trading agents revealed impressive results, with several achieving profit factors above 4.0 and annualized returns exceeding 40%. This article provides a detailed analysis of the top performers, evaluates their profitability, and explores the underlying technology driving this success.

 

ITA: Precision-Driven Gains

Annualized Return: +35%
Profit Factor: 4.4

Among the AI trading agents analyzed, the model operating on the ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) ticker delivered a standout performance in terms of consistency and profitability. With a profit factor of 4.4, it led all competitors in this metric. A profit factor above 4 indicates that the system generated $4.40 in profit for every $1.00 of loss—an exceptional result by any quantitative standard.

The annualized return of +35% reflects a robust trading methodology that prioritizes risk management alongside return maximization. ITA’s strong performance underscores the AI agent’s ability to navigate the often volatile aerospace and defense sector with remarkable stability.

 

XAR: Competitive Profitability in the Defense Sector

Annualized Return: +43%
Profit Factor: 4.3

Closely following ITA’s performance is XAR (SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF). With an annualized return of +43% and a profit factor of 4.3, XAR showcases both aggressive growth potential and effective downside protection.

While its profit factor is marginally lower than ITA’s, the higher return suggests that XAR's AI agent may be taking slightly more calculated risks, which have paid off well over the past year. The results signal a maturing AI strategy in sectors that are traditionally sensitive to geopolitical and budgetary shifts.

 

TSM: Semiconductor-Fueled AI Success

Annualized Return: +44%
Profit Factor: 4.3

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) stands out not just as a leading tech company but also as a fertile ground for AI trading strategies. With a +44% return and 4.3 profit factor, TSM's AI agent has effectively leveraged the stock's inherent volatility to generate consistent gains.

The semiconductor industry has seen increased interest due to the global expansion of AI, computing, and automotive electronics—factors that the AI agent seems to have capitalized on with remarkable accuracy.

 

WMT: Steady Retail Profits with High Efficiency

Annualized Return: +41%
Profit Factor: 3.8

Walmart (WMT) represents a more conservative, consumer-oriented stock that still delivered a compelling AI trading performance. With an annualized return of 41% and a profit factor of 3.8, WMT’s trading agent appears optimized for low-drawdown, high-frequency strategies.

The results imply a strong ability to extract alpha from small market movements—ideal in a defensive stock known for its relatively stable performance. Although its profit factor is slightly below that of ITA, XAR, and TSM, WMT remains a top-tier performer.

 

META: High Returns, Moderate Efficiency

Annualized Return: +48%
Profit Factor: 2.8

Meta Platforms (META) leads in annualized return among all evaluated AI agents, boasting a +48% return. However, it records the lowest profit factor at 2.8, suggesting a more aggressive strategy with higher drawdowns and possibly a lower win rate per trade.

While still highly profitable, the relatively lower profit factor indicates a trade-off between reward and risk. Traders employing the META AI agent should be prepared for greater volatility but can expect strong upside in bullish tech environments.

 

The Tickeron Edge: FLMs and AI Trading Bots

At the heart of these performances lies the innovation driven by Tickeron, a fintech platform specializing in AI-powered trading tools. Led by CEO Sergey Savastiouk, Tickeron has made significant strides in applying Financial Learning Models (FLMs)—a fusion of deep learning and technical analysis designed to detect patterns and predict price action with enhanced precision.

Tickeron's platform provides a range of tools tailored to different user profiles:

  • Beginner Bots: Simplified trading bots designed for novice investors.
     
  • High-Liquidity Stock Robots: Bots that focus on blue-chip and large-cap equities for efficient execution.
     
  • AI Trading Bots & Double Agents: Advanced tools capable of identifying both bullish and bearish trends simultaneously, offering a dual-view perspective for more informed decision-making.
     

By leveraging real-time data and pattern recognition, Tickeron's FLMs support traders in minimizing cognitive bias, improving execution timing, and managing risk dynamically.

 

Profit Factor: A Key Metric in Evaluating AI Trading

One of the most revealing statistics in this analysis is the profit factor, which measures the ratio of gross profits to gross losses. A profit factor:

  • Above 1.5 suggests a profitable system.
     
  • Above 2.0 is considered excellent.
     
  • Above 3.0–4.0, as seen in ITA, XAR, and TSM, indicates an exceptional AI trading strategy.
     

This metric is particularly valuable because it encapsulates both the quality of trades and the effectiveness of risk management—two essential pillars of successful AI trading.

 

AI's Expanding Role in Financial Markets

As AI continues to revolutionize industries, its role in finance is becoming indispensable. AI agents now offer real-time insights, automate complex decision processes, and adapt strategies based on evolving market conditions. The growing accessibility of platforms like Tickeron is democratizing AI in trading, enabling retail and institutional investors alike to harness powerful models without deep technical backgrounds.

These performance results from June 2, 2025, reflect a broader trend: AI is not just assisting human traders—it is increasingly setting the standard for performance.

 

Conclusion: From Novelty to Necessity

The data reviewed paints a clear picture: AI trading agents are delivering elite performance, with multiple bots achieving profit factors above 4.0 and annual returns exceeding 40%. While each ticker presents its unique profile—from META’s high-reward, high-risk strategy to ITA’s highly efficient execution—the overarching message is consistent: AI is reshaping the financial landscape.

As platforms like Tickeron continue to evolve and new innovations in machine learning emerge, the line between human-driven and AI-driven investing will blur further. What was once a futuristic concept is now a present-day reality—AI is not just participating in financial markets; it is leading them.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: ITA, XAR, TSM, WMT, META

Contributor

Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.


ITA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026

ITA moved below its 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ITA as a result. In 72 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ITA turned negative on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.

The 10-day moving average for ITA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ITA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator for ITA entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 20 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ITA advanced for three days, in 308 of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

ITA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Spirit Aerosystems Holdings (null:SPR).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index composed of U.S. equities in the aerospace and defense sector. The index measures the performance of the aerospace and defense sector of the U.S. equity market, as defined by SPDJI. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its index and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) ETF is 46.02B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 611.61M to 326.07B. GE holds the highest valuation in this group at 326.07B. The lowest valued company is SWBI at 611.61M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) ETF was -2%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. AVAV experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while AIR experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) ETF was 155%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 119% and the average quarterly volume growth was 0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 56
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
ITA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category Industrials

Profile
Details
Category
Industrials
Address
iShares Trust400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
415-670-2000
Web
www.ishares.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
Shares of ALDX are down about 73.02% in premarket trading, plunging from a prior close near 4.13 dollars to roughly 1.11 dollars after a major regulatory setback. The collapse follows fresh confirmation that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has again declined to approve reproxalap for dry eye disease, issuing another Complete Response Letter that questions efficacy.
Shares of MVST are down about 25% in premarket trading today compared with the prior close. The slide follows a sharp reassessment of the company’s outlook as investors react to new information and recent volatility in high‑beta battery and EV names.
Solaris Energy Infrastructure’s stock SEI jumped roughly 13% in today’s session, extending a sharp recent rebound from early-March lows. The move is driven by ongoing post-earnings momentum after strong Q4 and full‑year 2025 results and raised guidance highlighted rapid growth in its power solutions business.
Shares of LMND are trading approximately +10% higher intraday on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, rising from a prior close of $57.74 to around $63.51. Primary catalyst: Morgan Stanley upgraded LMND to an 'Overweight' rating and raised its price target to $85 from $80.
Shares of ICHR surged approximately +15% intraday on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, trading near $48.98 versus a prior closing price of $42.59. The primary catalyst is a high-profile analyst upgrade by Stifel, with analyst Brian Chin upgrading the stock to Buy citing improved cyclical strength and conviction in the company's revenue and margin trajectory.
NBIS shares are down approximately 10.00% in Tuesday's session, falling from a prior close of $129.85 to around $116.87. The primary catalyst is Nebius Group's pre-market announcement of a proposed $3.75 billion convertible senior notes offering, sparking dilution concerns.
TME shares fell over 20% today, with the stock sliding from the mid‑$15s toward the low‑$13s in the wake of its Q4 2025 report and earnings call, extending a pre‑market drop of roughly 12–13%.
HUYA shares fell over 11% today, dropping from the mid‑$3 range toward the low‑$3s following the company’s Q4 2025 earnings release before the U.S. market open. Q4 total net revenues rose about 16% year over year to roughly CNY 1.74 billion, with full‑year 2025 revenues up around 7% to CNY 6.5 billion, but the market had already priced in a rebound after a difficult 2024.​
CWCO fell over 9% today, trading around the low‑$31 range versus recent levels in the mid‑$30s to near $39, as the market reacted negatively to Q4 2025 results and forward commentary. Full‑year 2025 results showed stable earnings and dividend growth but a roughly 9% decline in services revenue to about $46.3 million, reflecting a slowdown in project‑based construction work.
SMTC shares dropped over 8% today after the company reported Q4 results that met or modestly beat Street estimates but showed the slowest year‑over‑year revenue growth in several quarters, at about 9.3% to roughly $274–275 million.
AXTI shares slipped more than 6% today, reversing part of a powerful rally that had recently driven the stock to a 52‑week high above $47 and more than doubled its price year‑to‑date. Q4 2025 revenue of about $23.0 million missed consensus by roughly $1.2 million and fell 8–18% year over year and sequentially, while the company posted another GAAP net loss of around $3.5 million (–$0.08 per share).
Shares of SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) are tumbling approximately 12% in premarket trading on March 18, 2026, after the company released its fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results before the market opened. While Q4 revenue came in slightly above consensus at $295 million (+23% year-over-year), investors were rattled by disappointing forward guidance for fiscal 2027.
Shares of KC surged approximately +17% in premarket trading on March 18, 2026, from a prior close of $13.12 to approximately $15.35. The primary catalyst is Kingsoft Cloud's release of its unaudited Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results before the U.S. market open, which appear to have significantly exceeded analyst expectations.
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) shares tumbled approximately 7% in premarket trading on March 18, 2026, extending a multi-week downtrend that has erased nearly 20% of the stock's value since late January highs. The primary catalyst driving the decline is persistent investor concern over AngloGold's lowered 2026 production guidance, with the company projecting gold output of 2.80–3.17 million ounces — a roughly 3% decline from its 2025 production of 3.1 million ounces.
AAOI shares surged approximately 10.90% in premarket trading on March 18, 2026, rising from a prior close of $86.33 to $95.74. The primary catalyst is strong positive sentiment generated at OFC 2026 — the Optical Fiber Communications Conference and Exhibition — where Applied Optoelectronics unveiled breakthrough laser and transceiver technology for next-generation AI data center infrastructure.
LITE shares surged approximately +12% in early Wednesday trading on March 18, 2026, with the stock changing hands near $727 compared to a prior session close of $649.56. The primary near-term catalyst is Lumentum's S&P 500 index inclusion, effective March 23, 2026, triggering front-running by institutional investors and mandatory buying by passive index funds.
Shares of New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. (NUAI) are trading down approximately 17% during today's session, with the prior close sitting at $5.56. The decline follows the company's March 17 business update conference call and webcast, held after market hours, during which management discussed the recently filed fiscal year 2025 annual report (Form 10-K).
Shares of Regencell Bioscience Holdings (RGC) are up approximately +16% intraday on March 18, 2026, trading at $26.56 against a prior close of $22.97. No single company-specific press release is driving today's move; the rally is primarily fueled by retail-driven momentum and short squeeze mechanics.
A jump in the Producer Price Index from 0.3% to around 0.7% month‑over‑month signals that wholesale inflation is re‑accelerating, delaying Fed rate‑cut hopes and reviving the “higher for longer” rates narrative.business. Likely winners in this environment include energy and commodity producers (XOM, CVX, TTE, COP), inflation‑resilient financials (JPM, BAC), and real‑asset plays like pipelines and infrastructure, which can pass through higher prices; ETFs like XLE, XOP, XLF, DBA, GLD offer diversified exposure.
BGSI fell more than 11% today, pulling back from recent levels around the high‑$150s as investors reassessed the risk‑reward following the Q4 2025 print and major U.S. expansion plans. Full‑year 2025 sales rose 2.4% to US$3.14 billion, but same‑store sales declined 0.2%, while reported net earnings fell 25% to US$18.4 million due to US$22.6 million in acquisition and transformation costs.