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Apr 17, 2019

Gold is likely to end the year at $1,400

It is expected that gold will end the year on a strong note owing to the Federal Reserve’s lower interest rates coupled with the advantage from global uncertainties like economy and geopolitical issues like trade war between U.S. and China. Often gold is considered to be safe heaven asset that is one of those assets that tend to retain its value during market turbulence.

On Tuesday, spot gold was trading at about $1,286.646 an ounce. Even though gold prices have long stuck in the $1,217 to $1,330 range, but analysts believe that these could reach $1,400 by the end of the year.

This positive outlook is mostly boosted by Federal Reserve’s decision not to hike interest rates this year. Further, more and more central banks in Poland, Hungary, the Philippines, and China are diversifying their reserve. Last year, central banks purchased a reported 650 metric tons of gold, an amount that accounted for 15% of the global market.

Related Ticker: UGL

UGL's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 2 days

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UGL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UGL just turned positive on November 29, 2024. Looking at past instances where UGL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGL advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UGL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 236 cases where UGL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 05, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UGL as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UGL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UGL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Industry description

The investment seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Bloomberg Gold SubindexSM. The fund seeks to meet its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, in any one of, or combinations of, Financial Instruments (including swap agreements, futures contracts, forward contracts and option contracts) based on the benchmark. The types and mix of Financial Instruments in which the fund invests may vary daily at the discretion of the Sponsor. It will not invest directly in any commodity.
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