The precious metals complex is experiencing a surge unlike any we’ve seen since the last great market upheaval. Gold—long touted as the ultimate safe‑haven asset—has captured investor attention on multiple fronts. From record fund inflows to eye‑watering year‑to‑date gains, the setup for smart precious‑metal investors has never been more compelling.
1. Record‑Shattering Fund Flows
Last week alone, investors poured $8 billion into gold‑focused exchange‑traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds—more than double the previous weekly record set during the 2020 pandemic. This bullish stampede pushed the four‑week moving average of net inflows to $4 billion, another all‑time high. Such massive capital rotation into gold funds signals broad institutional and retail conviction that precious metals will continue to outperform in the face of mounting economic uncertainty.
2. Unprecedented Price Performance
Gold’s price action this year tells the same story: a 29% gain so far, marking its best year‑to‑date performance since 1974. Remarkably, in just under five months, gold has already outstripped its entire 27% return from 2024. For investors wondering if the rally has legs, these numbers suggest strong momentum and a market that’s rapidly repricing gold’s role as both a hedge and an alpha generator.
3. Macro Tailwinds: Rising Money Supply
One of the strongest long‑term drivers for gold is real money supply growth. As the Federal Reserve continues to expand M2 money supply—the broadest measure of liquid money—investors often turn to gold to preserve purchasing power. With M2 still on an upward trajectory, gold’s scarcity and finite supply position it as a natural beneficiary of currency
debasement and inflationary pressures.
4. Opportunistic Plays
Several relative‑value opportunities now stand out:
5. How to Play the New Gold Rush
Conclusion
Gold’s current run—fueled by record inflows, historic price gains, and an unstoppable rise in money supply—has ushered in a modern‑day “gold rush.” But savvy investors will look beyond the bullion itself, exploiting ratios and using hedged strategies to maximize returns while protecting against tail risks. Whether you’re a long‑term allocator or an active trader, the opportunities in precious metals today have the potential to shine brightly in your portfolio.
GLD's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 20, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 289 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 289 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GLD as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 56 cases where GLD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GLD turned negative on June 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GLD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket