The precious metals complex is experiencing a surge unlike any we’ve seen since the last great market upheaval. Gold—long touted as the ultimate safe‑haven asset—has captured investor attention on multiple fronts. From record fund inflows to eye‑watering year‑to‑date gains, the setup for smart precious‑metal investors has never been more compelling.
1. Record‑Shattering Fund Flows
Last week alone, investors poured $8 billion into gold‑focused exchange‑traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds—more than double the previous weekly record set during the 2020 pandemic. This bullish stampede pushed the four‑week moving average of net inflows to $4 billion, another all‑time high. Such massive capital rotation into gold funds signals broad institutional and retail conviction that precious metals will continue to outperform in the face of mounting economic uncertainty.
2. Unprecedented Price Performance
Gold’s price action this year tells the same story: a 29% gain so far, marking its best year‑to‑date performance since 1974. Remarkably, in just under five months, gold has already outstripped its entire 27% return from 2024. For investors wondering if the rally has legs, these numbers suggest strong momentum and a market that’s rapidly repricing gold’s role as both a hedge and an alpha generator.
3. Macro Tailwinds: Rising Money Supply
One of the strongest long‑term drivers for gold is real money supply growth. As the Federal Reserve continues to expand M2 money supply—the broadest measure of liquid money—investors often turn to gold to preserve purchasing power. With M2 still on an upward trajectory, gold’s scarcity and finite supply position it as a natural beneficiary of currency
debasement and inflationary pressures.
4. Opportunistic Plays
Several relative‑value opportunities now stand out:
5. How to Play the New Gold Rush
Conclusion
Gold’s current run—fueled by record inflows, historic price gains, and an unstoppable rise in money supply—has ushered in a modern‑day “gold rush.” But savvy investors will look beyond the bullion itself, exploiting ratios and using hedged strategies to maximize returns while protecting against tail risks. Whether you’re a long‑term allocator or an active trader, the opportunities in precious metals today have the potential to shine brightly in your portfolio.
GLD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 25, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GLD just turned positive on August 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where GLD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GLD moved above its 50-day moving average on August 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GLD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 286 cases where GLD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GLD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 28, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket