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Feb 12, 2021
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Goldman's Dire Cryptocurrency Warning

Goldman's Dire Cryptocurrency Warning

2017’s meteoric, nearly across-the-board surge in cryptocurrency prices has seemingly come to an abrupt end. Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s global head of investment research, Steve Strongin, has indicated that the recent market tumble, with losses to the tune of nearly $500 billion, stands to get much, much worse.

In a February 5, 2018 report, Strongin warned digital currency investors to prepare for massive future changes. While he did not outline a timeframe, Strongin cautioned that most digital currencies, which lack intrinsic value, will likely trade to zero before being replaced by a small group of competitors. Strongin’s research, citing the recent price swings as evidence, indicates a bubble inconsistent with a “few-winners-take-most” market.

Strongin believes that most modern digital coins have too many challenges to succeed – security issues, high maintenance costs, and slow transaction times that present significant obstacles to consistency and staying power.

While sobering, the report is not a death knell for cryptocurrency. Strongin alludes to parallels with the 1990s dotcom bubble – when it burst, it cleared detritus from the landscape, leaving survivors like Google and Amazon. Strongin remains bullish on the improvement of blockchain, and he envisions important practical applications, like improving financial ledgers, to become mainstream at some point down the road.

 

 

Strongin also asserts that “just because we are in a speculative bubble does not mean current prices can’t increase for a handful of survivors,” but he also cautioned: “At the same time, it probably does mean that most, if not all, will never see their recent peaks again.”

While investors may clamor to get back to the gangbusters returns of 2017 and the highs of December and January, it may not be realistic for some cryptocurrencies. If anything, the sharp correction should encourage investors to tread more carefully into the cryptocurrency arena.

If you’re looking for investment tools to help you navigate the cryptocurrency markets, Tickeron has developed Artificial Intelligence trained to find price patterns and trends in cryptocurrency. In early January, Tickeron’s AI predicted a significant decline for Bitcoin and Ethereum before the massive sell-off took place. Could more dire predictions be ahead? Subscribe to Tickeron’s A.I. to find out what the algorithms say.

Related Ticker: GS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


GS's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for GS moved out of oversold territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GS as a result. In 50 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GS just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where GS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Following a +1.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GS advanced for three days, in 212 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 68 cases where GS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

The 50-day moving average for GS moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

GS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GS entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.385) is normal, around the industry mean (3.059). P/E Ratio (13.696) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.833). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.133) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (8.748) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.394) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), Gold.com Inc. (NYSE:GOLD).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 11.58B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 590 to 291.7B. MS holds the highest valuation in this group at 291.7B. The lowest valued company is FSSLD at 590.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26%. NCPL experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while AXG experienced the biggest fall at -83%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 67
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 69
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of investment banking, securities and asset management services

Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers

Industry
Investment Banks Or Brokers
Address
200 West Street
Phone
+1 212 902-1000
Employees
47400
Web
https://www.goldmansachs.com
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