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Jan 21, 2021
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Goldman Sachs Major Earnings Beat: Time to Buy?

Goldman Sachs Major Earnings Beat: Time to Buy?

I'm a fan of big banks in 2021, and Goldman Sachs is near the top of the list. In Q4, the investment banking giant demonstrated how strong its operations and earnings-generating businesses are. Below, I breakdown some of Goldman Sach's Q4 earnings numbers, and I also provide Tickeron's Artificial Intelligence-generated analysis for traders and investors. 

- Earnings per Share:     $12.08/sh vs. $6.99 exp

- Revenues:    $11.7B vs. $9.65B exp

- Adj. Return on Equity 21.1% v 17.5% q/q

- Avg Daily VAR $84M v $91M q/q

- Tier 1 Capital Ratio under Basel III 14.7% v 14.5% q/q

- Book value per share $236.15 v $229.49 q/q

- Total loans $116B v $112B q/q

- Provision for credit losses $293M v $278M q/q; allowance for credit losses $4.43B v $4.33B prior

Segment Revenues:

- Net investment banking Rev $2.61B, +33% q/q, +27% y/y

- Global Markets $4.27B, -6% q/q, +23% y/y (Fixed income, Currency and Commodities (FICC) Client Execution $1.88B , +6% y/y)

- Asset Management Rev $3.21B +16% q/q, +7% y/y.

- Consumer & Wealth Management $1.65B, +11% q/q, +17% y/y

Time to buy?

Related Ticker: GS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


GS's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for GS moved out of oversold territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GS just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where GS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.

Following a +1.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GS advanced for three days, in 212 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 68 cases where GS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GS as a result. In 37 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

The 50-day moving average for GS moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

GS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GS entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.298) is normal, around the industry mean (3.120). P/E Ratio (13.194) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.734). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.133) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (8.976) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.394) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), Gold.com Inc. (NYSE:GOLD).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 11.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 590 to 284.96B. MS holds the highest valuation in this group at 284.96B. The lowest valued company is FSSLD at 590.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -19%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24%. PMAX experienced the highest price growth at 90%, while ABTS experienced the biggest fall at -68%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 67
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 70
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a provider of investment banking, securities and asset management services

Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers

Industry
Investment Banks Or Brokers
Address
200 West Street
Phone
+1 212 902-1000
Employees
47400
Web
https://www.goldmansachs.com
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Goldman Sachs Major Earnings Beat: Time to Buy?