GoodRx (GDRX, $49.32) surges in first trading day
GoodRx soared in its debut trading Wednesday on the Nasdaq.
The company, a digital prescription price comparison and coupon provider, saw its stock recently traded at $48.45, up +46.81% from its initial public offering price of $33, which in turn was well above the $24 to $28 range set by the underwriters.
Inn the six months ended June 30, GoodRx’s net income totaled $54.7 million, up from $31.2 million a year earlier. Revenue of $256.7 million was higher than $173.2 million a year earlier.
Co-founders and CEOs Doug Hirsch and Trevor Bezdek wrote in the prospectus that “so far, we’ve saved Americans an estimated $20 billion on prescriptions and medical services. We have helped a lot of people save money on their care.” They further noted, “our research indicates that, of our total consumer base, approximately 18 million people got care they otherwise could not afford. We also work closely with physicians and pharmacists - America’s healthcare heroes - to provide research and tools that improve access to care every day,”.
“When patients have exhausted other options, our corporate philanthropy arm, GoodRxHelps, provides free prescriptions and medical services in partnership with clinics across America. We are proud of our focus on minority communities, who face disproportionately greater challenges in obtaining affordable care,” the CEOs added.
GDRX in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024
The 10-day moving average for GDRX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDRX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GDRX as a result. In of 58 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GDRX just turned positive on April 23, 2024. Looking at past instances where GDRX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 31 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GDRX moved above its 50-day moving average on April 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDRX advanced for three days, in of 189 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GDRX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GDRX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.681) is normal, around the industry mean (29.955). P/E Ratio (215.667) is within average values for comparable stocks, (155.575). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.883) is also within normal values, averaging (55.459).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GDRX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
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