Google's Geoff Hinton on the Future of AI
Geoff Hinton is a true artificial intelligence lifer. Since receiving his Ph.D. in AI from the University of Edinburgh in 1978, Hinton has spent ample time teaching, researching, and innovating within the field. He is a pioneer of artificial neural networks, which with technological advancements have become not only functional, but vital for major tech companies. Hinton’s company, DNNresearch, was acquired by Google in 2013 after delivering a significant improvement in object recognition accuracy in photos, though neural nets have application in speech recognition, language processing, and more.
With vast experience in the field and an executive position at one of tech’s biggest and most important companies, Hinton is uniquely qualified to discuss the future of AI (as he did recently with Wired). The technology’s recent rise to prominence has brought with it ethical, philosophical, and practical questions. Hinton believes that there “…should be something like a Geneva Convention banning [AI in lethal autonomous weapons], like there is for chemical weapons.” An agreement would then function as a “sort of moral flag post” for nations around the world – whether nations chose to sign or not, people would know where they stand. Hinton was among those who expressed reservations to Google co-founder Sergey Brin about the company’s Pentagon contract related to machine learning with drone imagery (which was completed but not renewed) – the company has since released guidelines on how to use AI, including a “…pledge not to use it in weapons.”
Hinton expressed reservations about dictating how policy should function, calling himself “…an expert on trying to get the technology to work, not an expert on social policy.” But he did say his technical expertise has led him to believe that it “…would be a complete disaster” if regulators forced people to explain the workings of their AI systems, equating it to “…forcing them to make up a story.” Hinton says trust should instead be dictated by performance, with experiments identifying bias or danger.
He predicts machine learning systems will start functioning more like the human brain, using a new kind of computing system that “…[extracts] knowledge quickly using lots of connections.” A UK company called Graphcore is designing a processor that draws weights from a neural net “…in cache on the processor, not in RAM, so they never have to be moved.” Doing so means using less computing energy and increasing the flexibility of the neural net.
Hinton acknowledges the space is not without problems. Hinton is concerned that academic papers, especially those containing potentially revolutionary ideas, are being stymied in a review process dominated by two parties: experienced (but bogged down under paper reviews, or dismissive if they don’t immediately understand an idea) academics, and junior reviewers who lack the understanding to properly engage with certain pieces. He is confident, however, that increased education – already in progress – will correct the “imbalance.”
Hinton is equally assured that AI’s recent ubiquity means fears of a potential ‘AI winter’ – a period where funding slows to a trickle because new milestones are not reached as quickly as anticipated – are unfounded, mentioning that the technology “…drives your cellphone. In the old AI winters, AI wasn't actually part of your everyday life. Now it is.” AI is here to stay – how it improves and is used is being redefined daily.
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GOOGL's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for GOOGL moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 16 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOGL advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GOOGL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 288 cases where GOOGL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOOGL as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOOGL turned negative on May 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
GOOGL moved below its 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for GOOGL moved below the 200-day moving average on April 08, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOGL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.821) is normal, around the industry mean (11.896). P/E Ratio (26.802) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.251). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.626) is also within normal values, averaging (3.572). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.435) is also within normal values, averaging (19.917).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GOOGL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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