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Rick Johnson's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 10, 2023

Greenbrier Companies (The) (GBX, $30.21) is expected to report earnings to fall+908% to 50 cents per share on April 10

Greenbrier Companies (The) (GBX, $30.21) is set to report earnings on April 10, and the expectations are that earnings will fall by a significant 908% to 50 cents per share. This news has already impacted the stock's performance, as GBX moved below its 50-day moving average on April 05, 2023, indicating a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

This shift in trend is concerning for investors who have been holding onto the stock in hopes of continued growth. In fact, historical data shows that in 28 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. This means that the odds of a continued downward trend are 82%, making it more likely that the stock price will continue to decrease rather than recover in the near term.

As a technical analyst, it's important to consider other key indicators in addition to the moving average to get a better sense of the stock's overall performance. For example, looking at GBX's Relative Strength Index (RSI) can provide insight into whether the stock is oversold or overbought. Currently, GBX's RSI is at 30.55, indicating that the stock is oversold and potentially undervalued. However, given the recent trend shift and the expected earnings report, this oversold condition may not be enough to reverse the downward trend.

Additionally, monitoring GBX's trading volume can provide insights into investor sentiment. If trading volume is increasing alongside the downward trend, it could indicate a significant bearish sentiment and further price drops may be likely. Conversely, if trading volume decreases and stabilizes, it could indicate that the stock is reaching a floor and may start to recover.

The expected earnings report for Greenbrier Companies (The) (GBX) is a significant indicator that the stock's performance will shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. The historical data indicates that the odds of a continued downward trend are high, and other key indicators such as the RSI and trading volume suggest that this trend may persist in the near term. As always, investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any decisions about buying or selling GBX.

Related Ticker: GBX

GBX's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for GBX moved out of oversold territory on May 05, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 42 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GBX as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GBX just turned positive on May 11, 2023. Looking at past instances where GBX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GBX advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 57 cases where GBX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GBX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GBX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GBX entered a downward trend on May 15, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.686) is normal, around the industry mean (1.995). P/E Ratio (23.041) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.391). GBX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.188). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.254) is also within normal values, averaging (2.935).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GBX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GBX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 15.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.1K to 118.4B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 118.4B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 1.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. EJPRF experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while USDP experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of and distributes railcars and related transportation equipment

Industry Railroads

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
One Centerpoint Drive
Phone
+1 503 684-7000
Employees
14400
Web
https://www.gbrx.com
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GBX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GBX has been closely correlated with TRN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GBX jumps, then TRN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GBX
1D Price
Change %
GBX100%
-1.05%
TRN - GBX
72%
Closely correlated
+0.05%
WAB - GBX
50%
Loosely correlated
-0.31%
RAIL - GBX
38%
Loosely correlated
+0.36%
NSC - GBX
37%
Loosely correlated
+0.29%
CSX - GBX
35%
Loosely correlated
+0.88%
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