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Apr 10, 2023

Greenbrier Companies (The) (GBX, $30.21) is expected to report earnings to fall+908% to 50 cents per share on April 10

Greenbrier Companies (The) (GBX, $30.21) is set to report earnings on April 10, and the expectations are that earnings will fall by a significant 908% to 50 cents per share. This news has already impacted the stock's performance, as GBX moved below its 50-day moving average on April 05, 2023, indicating a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

This shift in trend is concerning for investors who have been holding onto the stock in hopes of continued growth. In fact, historical data shows that in 28 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. This means that the odds of a continued downward trend are 82%, making it more likely that the stock price will continue to decrease rather than recover in the near term.

As a technical analyst, it's important to consider other key indicators in addition to the moving average to get a better sense of the stock's overall performance. For example, looking at GBX's Relative Strength Index (RSI) can provide insight into whether the stock is oversold or overbought. Currently, GBX's RSI is at 30.55, indicating that the stock is oversold and potentially undervalued. However, given the recent trend shift and the expected earnings report, this oversold condition may not be enough to reverse the downward trend.

Additionally, monitoring GBX's trading volume can provide insights into investor sentiment. If trading volume is increasing alongside the downward trend, it could indicate a significant bearish sentiment and further price drops may be likely. Conversely, if trading volume decreases and stabilizes, it could indicate that the stock is reaching a floor and may start to recover.

The expected earnings report for Greenbrier Companies (The) (GBX) is a significant indicator that the stock's performance will shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. The historical data indicates that the odds of a continued downward trend are high, and other key indicators such as the RSI and trading volume suggest that this trend may persist in the near term. As always, investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any decisions about buying or selling GBX.

Related Ticker: GBX

GBX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

GBX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 17, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GBX as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GBX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for GBX entered a downward trend on May 09, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where GBX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

GBX moved above its 50-day moving average on May 28, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GBX advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.260) is normal, around the industry mean (2.072). P/E Ratio (15.525) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.530). GBX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (4.442). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (4.456).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GBX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 16.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.1K to 139.72B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.72B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 1.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. ALSMY experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while RVSN experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of and distributes railcars and related transportation equipment

Industry Railroads

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
One Centerpoint Drive
Phone
+1 503 684-7000
Employees
13800
Web
https://www.gbrx.com
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