Harley-Davidson Goes Slow on Margin Projection

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HMC just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where HMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

HMC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HMC advanced for three days, in 166 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for HMC moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 51%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

HMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.004) is normal, around the industry mean (1.893). P/E Ratio (-0.309) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.173). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.454) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.087) settles around the average of (0.160) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.299) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.