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Jul 25, 2019
Hershey (HSY,$148.01) beats Q2 earnings estimate, but issues lower-than-expected full-year outlook

Hershey (HSY,$148.01) beats Q2 earnings estimate, but issues lower-than-expected full-year outlook

Hershey’s second quarter earnings beat analysts’ expectations. However, the chocolate maker provided a full-year guidance lower than expected by Wall Street.

The company’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.31 a share for the quarter, ahead of the FactSet consensus estimate of $1.17.

Total revenue increased to $1.77 billion, up from $1.75 billion, and in line with the $1.77 billion that analysts’ estimated (based on FactSet poll). 

For the full-year, Hershey now expects earnings of $5.54 to $5.56 a share – compared to the Street expectation of $5.75 a share.  Hershey forecasts adjusted earnings increase of +6% to +7% for the year.

The company now projects full-year sales growth of +2%, compared to a prior guidance for an increase of +1% to +3%. FactSet survey is guiding for sales of $7.95 billion, up about 2.1% from 2018.

Related Ticker: HSY

HSY sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On May 06, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for HSY moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 61 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 61 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HSY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HSY just turned positive on May 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where HSY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HSY advanced for three days, in of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HSY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HSY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for HSY entered a downward trend on May 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HSY's P/B Ratio (7.968) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.949). HSY has a moderately high P/E Ratio (34.626) as compared to the industry average of (22.904). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.075) is also within normal values, averaging (0.817). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.157) is also within normal values, averaging (1.815).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HSY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HSY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 14.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.25K to 79.01B. MDLZ holds the highest valuation in this group at 79.01B. The lowest valued company is OGGFF at 6.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. RMCF experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while SOWG experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -0%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of chocolate, candy, chewing gum, non-confectionery products and snack foods

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Profile
Details
Industry
Food Specialty Or Candy
Address
19 East Chocolate Avenue
Phone
+1 717 534-4200
Employees
20505
Web
https://www.thehersheycompany.com
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