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Feb 05, 2022
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Hershey's (HSY, $202.88) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Hershey's (HSY, $202.88) beats Q4 earnings expectations

The Hershey Company posted  fourth-quarter  results, with both earnings and revenue beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

The chocolate maker’s adjusted earnings for the quarter grew +13.4% from the year-ago quarter to  $2.10 a share, surpassing Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.69.

Consolidated net sales climbed +6.4% year-over-year to $2,326.1 million, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,265 million. Organic net sales on constant-currency basis rose +4%.

North America Confectionery segment net sales rose +4.9% year over year to $1,982.4 million. Price realization contributed to 4.3 points of growth. Volume led to a 1.1-point headwind due to price elasticity and reduced shipping days. Acquisition of Lily's and foreign exchange added to net sales by 1.5 points and 0.2 points, respectively.

The North America Salty Snacks segment’s net sales increased +38.9% year-over-year to $158.7 million. Price realization contributed 15.9 points, and volume contributed 3.9 points. The acquisitions of Dot's and Pretzels contributed 19.1 points to sales.

International segment’s net sales rose +1.7% year-over-year to $185 million. On constant currency basis, net sales increased +2%. Price realization contributed 19.7 points to sales while volume lent a  17.7-point headwind.

The company projects net sales growth in the band of 8-10% for 2022.  It expects adjusted earnings per share to increase 9-11%, and predicts reported earnings per share growth in the 7-10% range. For 2022, adjusted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $7.84-$7.98.

Related Ticker: HSY

HSY in -2.57% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 29, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where HSY declined for three days, in 185 of 297 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HSY as a result. In 38 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HSY turned negative on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 56%.

HSY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

HSY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HSY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +4.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HSY advanced for three days, in 193 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 116 of 220 cases where HSY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 53%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HSY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 72 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HSY's P/B Ratio (7.293) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.422). P/E Ratio (21.993) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.495). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.364). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.161) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.856) is also within normal values, averaging (1.937).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HSY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 23.58B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 89 to 82.88B. MDLZ holds the highest valuation in this group at 82.88B. The lowest valued company is HBIS at 89.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. SOWG experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while HSY experienced the biggest fall at -2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 73%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 33% and the average quarterly volume growth was 18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 34
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
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HSY
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of chocolate, candy, chewing gum, non-confectionery products and snack foods

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Industry
Food Specialty Or Candy
Address
19 East Chocolate Avenue
Phone
+1 717 534-4200
Employees
19595
Web
https://www.thehersheycompany.com
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